Who to start · 2025-26
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Seth Jarvis
In 2025-26, Seth Jarvis scored 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70.
Nugent-Hopkins had 56 points in 72 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games.
This week Nugent-Hopkins has 1 game left; Jarvis has 1 left. We project Jarvis for 2.2 ESPN points to Nugent-Hopkins's 1.7.
Seth Jarvis has the better number in 20 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Nugent-Hopkins's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.6, High-danger chances 54.8%, Faceoffs won 172.
Jarvis's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.093, Fenwick 59.7%, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.40.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
1.70
fantasy points per game
Seth Jarvis
2.19
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Seth Jarvis has the edge.
| Points per game from | Nugent-Hopkins | Jarvis |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.56 | 0.90 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.50 | 0.48 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.04 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.18 | 0.32 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.03 | 0.11 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.19 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Nugent-Hopkins vs Jarvis
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Nugent-Hopkins 2G 6A, 13 SOG · Jarvis 1G 2A, 16 SOG
Nugent-Hopkins's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–0 · Nugent-Hopkins's defensive zone 1–0 (2024-25)
On the ice against each other (Nugent-Hopkins's side)
6:31 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Nugent-Hopkins's side
- Shot attempts
- 4–10
- 28.6%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–0.3
- 39.8%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Nugent-Hopkins | Jarvis |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-06 | EDM 3–6 CAR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-03-01 | EDM 3–1 CAR | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-10-22 | EDM 2–3 CAR | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-12-06 | EDM 6–1 CAR | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-11-22 | EDM 3–6 CAR | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2022-11-10 | EDM 2–7 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-10-20 | EDM 6–4 CAR | 1G 3A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2021-12-11 | EDM 1–3 CAR | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
3games (1 left)
1.7proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
- Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
- Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.7 pts
Seth Jarvis
3games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.2 ptsSchedule edge −9.3 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Ryan Nugent-Hopkins or Seth Jarvis in fantasy hockey?
- In 2025-26, Seth Jarvis scored 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70. Nugent-Hopkins had 56 points in 72 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins or Seth Jarvis?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Seth Jarvis leads in 20 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Nugent-Hopkins and Jarvis done against each other?
- In 8 games against each other in our data, Nugent-Hopkins's team went 3–5. Nugent-Hopkins had 8 points (2 goals) and Jarvis had 3 (1 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Nugent-Hopkins or Jarvis?
- Against each other, Nugent-Hopkins has won 1 and Jarvis 0 of their 1 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →