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Who to start · 2025-26

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Tom Wilson

Ryan Nugent-HopkinsRyan Nugent-HopkinsOilers · CentrevsTom WilsonTom WilsonCapitals · Right wing

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tom Wilson projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70.

Nugent-Hopkins had 56 points in 72 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games.

This week Nugent-Hopkins has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Wilson has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Wilson for 2.3 ESPN points to Nugent-Hopkins's 1.1.

Tom Wilson has the better number in 21 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Nugent-Hopkins's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 60.5%, Offensive-zone time 46.0%, Net penalties drawn /60 −0.17.

Wilson's biggest edges: Hits 179, Plus/minus +15, Penalty minutes 117.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

1.70

fantasy points per game

Tom Wilson

2.20

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Tom Wilson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromNugent-HopkinsWilson
Goals (+2)0.560.83
Assists (+1)0.500.44
Power-play points (+0.5)0.200.08
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.180.21
Hits (+0.1)0.030.25
Blocks (+0.5)0.220.37

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Nugent-Hopkins vs Wilson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

Nugent-HopkinsWilson
5Team record in 9 meetings4
12Points in those games7

Nugent-Hopkins 4G 8A, 19 SOG · Wilson 2G 5A, 17 SOG

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Nugent-Hopkins's side)

2:29 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Nugent-Hopkins's side

Shot attempts
3–0
100.0%
Expected goals
0.5–0.0
100.0%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Ryan Nugent-Hopkins and Tom Wilson
DateScoreNugent-HopkinsWilson
2026-01-24EDM 6–5 WSH0G 1A 2S0G 2A 0S
2025-02-23EDM 3–7 WSH1G 1A 1S1G 1A 2S
2025-01-21EDM 2–3 WSH0G 0A 2S1G 0A 1S
2024-03-13EDM 7–2 WSH0G 2A 1S0G 0A 0S
2023-11-24EDM 5–0 WSH1G 2A 2S0G 0A 7S
2022-02-02EDM 5–3 WSH2G 1A 4S0G 0A 4S
2019-10-24EDM 4–3 WSH0G 0A 3S0G 1A 0S
2017-11-12EDM 1–2 WSH0G 0A 1S0G 1A 2S
2017-10-28EDM 2–5 WSH0G 1A 3S0G 0A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

Nugent-HopkinsWilson

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

3games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

Tom Wilson

2games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to RWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.3 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to RWSchedule edge −13.3 win%vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Ryan Nugent-Hopkins or Tom Wilson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tom Wilson projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70. Nugent-Hopkins had 56 points in 72 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins or Tom Wilson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Tom Wilson leads in 21 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Nugent-Hopkins and Wilson done against each other?
In 9 games against each other in our data, Nugent-Hopkins's team went 5–4. Nugent-Hopkins had 12 points (4 goals) and Wilson had 7 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →