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Who to start · 2025-26

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Vince Dunn

Ryan Nugent-HopkinsRyan Nugent-HopkinsOilers · CentrevsVince DunnVince DunnKraken · Defence

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Vince Dunn projects to 1.83 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70.

Nugent-Hopkins had 56 points in 72 games; Dunn had 44 in 81 games.

This week Nugent-Hopkins has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Dunn has 2 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Dunn for 3.6 ESPN points to Nugent-Hopkins's 1.1.

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins has the better number in 24 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Nugent-Hopkins's biggest edges: High-danger chances 54.8%, Expected goals 51.2%, Sequence xG 51.1%.

Dunn's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1012, Penalty minutes 54, Faceoffs won 0.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

1.70

fantasy points per game

Vince Dunn

1.59

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromNugent-HopkinsDunn
Goals (+2)0.560.27
Assists (+1)0.500.41
Power-play points (+0.5)0.200.13
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.180.22
Hits (+0.1)0.030.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.220.53

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Nugent-Hopkins vs Dunn

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

Nugent-HopkinsDunn
16Team record in 26 meetings10
32Points in those games13

Nugent-Hopkins 8G 24A, 53 SOG · Dunn 2G 11A, 54 SOG

1Hits on each other0
3Shots blocked by the other2

Nugent-Hopkins blocked 3 of Dunn's shots; Dunn blocked 2 of Nugent-Hopkins's.

On the ice against each other (Nugent-Hopkins's side)

16:20 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Nugent-Hopkins's side

Shot attempts
12–13
48.0%
Expected goals
0.4–0.9
30.4%
Goals
0–2

Games against each other

Games between Ryan Nugent-Hopkins and Vince Dunn
DateScoreNugent-HopkinsDunn
2026-03-31EDM 3–0 SEA0G 1A 1S0G 0A 5S
2025-12-04EDM 9–4 SEA0G 3A 0S0G 0A 4S
2025-11-29EDM 4–0 SEA1G 1A 2S0G 0A 0S
2025-10-25EDM 2–3 SEA0G 1A 2S0G 0A 3S
2025-03-27EDM 1–6 SEA0G 0A 4S0G 1A 2S
2025-03-22EDM 5–4 SEA3G 0A 5S0G 1A 2S
2025-01-27EDM 4–2 SEA0G 1A 2S1G 0A 5S
2025-01-04EDM 4–2 SEA1G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2024-03-02EDM 2–1 SEA0G 1A 0S0G 1A 2S
2023-11-15EDM 4–3 SEA0G 1A 3S0G 1A 1S
2023-11-11EDM 4–1 SEA0G 1A 0S0G 1A 2S
2023-03-18EDM 6–4 SEA0G 1A 1S0G 1A 3S

Latest 12 of 26 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

Nugent-HopkinsDunn

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

3games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

Vince Dunn

3games (2 left)

3.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CGY
    Opp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.8 pts
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to DLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Ryan Nugent-Hopkins or Vince Dunn in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Vince Dunn projects to 1.83 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70. Nugent-Hopkins had 56 points in 72 games; Dunn had 44 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins or Vince Dunn?
On 2025-26 numbers, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins leads in 24 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Nugent-Hopkins and Dunn done against each other?
In 26 games against each other in our data, Nugent-Hopkins's team went 16–10. Nugent-Hopkins had 32 points (8 goals) and Dunn had 13 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →