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Who to start · 2025-26

Sam Malinski vs Tomas Hertl

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tomas Hertl projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Sam Malinski's 1.44.

Malinski had 40 points in 82 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games.

This week Malinski has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Hertl has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Hertl for 2.0 ESPN points to Malinski's 1.1.

Tomas Hertl has the better number in 17 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Malinski's biggest edges: Plus/minus +43, On-ice PDO 1035, Forecheck xG /60 0.44.

Hertl's biggest edges: Ascension score 61, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.010, Power-play share 78.1%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Sam Malinski

1.44

fantasy points per game

Tomas Hertl

1.88

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Tomas Hertl has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMalinskiHertl
Goals (+2)0.180.63
Assists (+1)0.370.37
Power-play points (+0.5)0.010.17
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.200.27
Hits (+0.1)0.050.14
Blocks (+0.5)0.640.30

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Malinski vs Hertl

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MalinskiHertl
4Team record in 10 meetings6
3Points in those games10

Malinski 0G 3A, 16 SOG · Hertl 4G 6A, 22 SOG

3Shots blocked by the other0

Malinski blocked 3 of Hertl's shots; Hertl blocked 0 of Malinski's.

On the ice against each other (Malinski's side)

20:29 at 5-on-5 over 7 games, 2025-26, from Malinski's side

Shot attempts
26–19
57.8%
Expected goals
0.7–0.3
71.0%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Sam Malinski and Tomas Hertl
DateScoreMalinskiHertl
2026-05-26 · POCOL 1–2 VGK0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2026-05-24 · POCOL 3–5 VGK0G 0A 2S1G 1A 3S
2026-05-22 · POCOL 1–3 VGK0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2026-05-20 · POCOL 2–4 VGK0G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S
2026-04-11COL 2–3 VGK0G 0A 0S0G 1A 3S
2025-12-27COL 6–5 VGK0G 3A 3S0G 1A 1S
2025-10-31COL 4–2 VGK0G 0A 3S1G 1A 2S
2024-11-27COL 2–1 VGK0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2024-10-09COL 4–8 VGK0G 0A 1S0G 1A 0S
2023-12-17COL 6–2 SJS0G 0A 0S2G 0A 5S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MalinskiHertl

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Sam Malinski

2games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to DLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL1.1 pts
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)

Tomas Hertl

3games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs CHI
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to CLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.0 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)

FAQ

Should I start Sam Malinski or Tomas Hertl in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tomas Hertl projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Sam Malinski's 1.44. Malinski had 40 points in 82 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Sam Malinski or Tomas Hertl?
On 2025-26 numbers, Tomas Hertl leads in 17 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Malinski and Hertl done against each other?
In 10 games against each other in our data, Malinski's team went 4–6. Malinski had 3 points (0 goals) and Hertl had 10 (4 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →