Who to start · 2025-26
Sam Reinhart vs Tyler Toffoli
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sam Reinhart projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35.
Reinhart had 61 points in 64 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games.
This week Reinhart has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Toffoli has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Reinhart for 2.5 ESPN points to Toffoli's 1.5.
Sam Reinhart has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Reinhart's biggest edges: Top skating speed 22.6, Forecheck xG /60 0.33, Ice time per game 21:17.
Toffoli's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1006, Hardest shot 89.2, Luck Meter +14.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Sam Reinhart
2.13
fantasy points per game
Tyler Toffoli
1.35
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Sam Reinhart has the edge.
| Points per game from | Reinhart | Toffoli |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.80 | 0.45 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.44 | 0.36 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.17 | 0.09 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.03 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.13 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.31 | 0.18 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Reinhart vs Toffoli
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Reinhart 7G 4A, 49 SOG · Toffoli 3G 2A, 36 SOG
On the ice against each other (Reinhart's side)
12:12 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Reinhart's side
- Shot attempts
- 14–5
- 73.7%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.3
- 49.1%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Reinhart | Toffoli |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | FLA 3–4 SJS | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2026-01-19 | FLA 1–4 SJS | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-11-08 | FLA 1–3 SJS | 0G 0A 7S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-01-25 | FLA 7–2 SJS | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-12-07 | FLA 3–1 SJS | 0G 1A 4S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2024-03-05 | FLA 5–3 NJD | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-01-13 | FLA 1–4 NJD | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-10-16 | FLA 4–3 NJD | 2G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2022-11-29 | FLA 2–6 CGY | 1G 0A 3S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2022-11-19 | FLA 4–5 CGY | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2019-12-21 | BUF 3–2 LAK | 0G 2A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2019-10-17 | BUF 3–0 LAK | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
Latest 12 of 16 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Sam Reinhart
3games (1 left)
2.5proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ CAROpp allows 13th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ SJSOpp allows 12th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA2.5 ptsOpp allows 9th-most FP to CLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
Tyler Toffoli
2games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs FLAOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.5 ptsOpp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Sam Reinhart or Tyler Toffoli in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sam Reinhart projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35. Reinhart had 61 points in 64 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Sam Reinhart or Tyler Toffoli?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Sam Reinhart leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Reinhart and Toffoli done against each other?
- In 16 games against each other in our data, Reinhart's team went 8–8. Reinhart had 11 points (7 goals) and Toffoli had 5 (3 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →