Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Seth Jarvis vs Will Smith

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Seth Jarvis projects to 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Will Smith's 1.94.

Jarvis had 66 points in 71 games; Smith had 59 in 69 games.

This week Jarvis has 1 game left; Smith has 1 left. We project Jarvis for 2.2 ESPN points to Smith's 1.7.

Seth Jarvis has the better number in 26 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Jarvis's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.093, Fenwick 59.7%, Top skating speed 23.4.

Smith's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1033, Luck Meter +40, Goals above expected +2.0.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Seth Jarvis

2.19

fantasy points per game

Will Smith

1.68

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Seth Jarvis has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromJarvisSmith
Goals (+2)0.900.70
Assists (+1)0.480.51
Power-play points (+0.5)0.150.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.040.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.320.24
Hits (+0.1)0.110.02
Blocks (+0.5)0.190.09

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Jarvis vs Smith

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

JarvisSmith
2Team record in 3 meetings1
2Points in those games1

Jarvis 1G 1A, 4 SOG · Smith 0G 1A, 10 SOG

On the ice against each other (Jarvis's side)

9:01 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Jarvis's side

Shot attempts
13–3
81.3%
Expected goals
0.3–0.0
85.9%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Seth Jarvis and Will Smith
DateScoreJarvisSmith
2025-12-07CAR 1–4 SJS0G 0A 0S0G 1A 3S
2025-10-14CAR 5–1 SJS0G 1A 1S0G 0A 3S
2025-03-20CAR 3–1 SJS1G 0A 3S0G 0A 4S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

JarvisSmith

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Seth Jarvis

3games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.2 pts

Will Smith

2games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.7 pts

FAQ

Should I start Seth Jarvis or Will Smith in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Seth Jarvis projects to 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Will Smith's 1.94. Jarvis had 66 points in 71 games; Smith had 59 in 69 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Seth Jarvis or Will Smith?
On 2025-26 numbers, Seth Jarvis leads in 26 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Jarvis and Smith done against each other?
In 3 games against each other in our data, Jarvis's team went 2–1. Jarvis had 2 points (1 goals) and Smith had 1 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →