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Who to start · 2025-26

Timo Meier vs Tom Wilson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tom Wilson projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Timo Meier's 1.74.

Meier had 44 points in 77 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games.

This week Meier has 1 game left; Wilson has 1 left. We project Wilson for 2.2 ESPN points to Meier's 1.8.

Tom Wilson has the better number in 26 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Meier's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.17, Transition attempts /60 2.14, Shots on goal 269.

Wilson's biggest edges: Luck Meter +40, Goals above expected +2.0, Plus/minus +15.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Timo Meier

1.74

fantasy points per game

Tom Wilson

2.24

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Tom Wilson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMeierWilson
Goals (+2)0.580.78
Assists (+1)0.240.48
Power-play points (+0.5)0.060.08
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.350.20
Hits (+0.1)0.170.25
Blocks (+0.5)0.320.44

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Meier vs Wilson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MeierWilson
8Team record in 21 meetings13
16Points in those games15

Meier 3G 13A, 61 SOG · Wilson 6G 9A, 49 SOG

0Hits on each other1
1Shots blocked by the other1

Meier blocked 1 of Wilson's shots; Wilson blocked 1 of Meier's.

1Penalties drawn off the other2

On the ice against each other (Meier's side)

27:22 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Meier's side

Shot attempts
18–27
40.0%
Expected goals
1.0–1.7
36.4%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Timo Meier and Tom Wilson
DateScoreMeierWilson
2026-04-02NJD 7–3 WSH0G 1A 0S1G 1A 3S
2026-03-20NJD 1–2 WSH0G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2025-12-27NJD 3–4 WSH0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2025-11-15NJD 3–2 WSH0G 0A 5S0G 0A 4S
2024-11-30NJD 5–6 WSH0G 2A 1S0G 0A 2S
2024-11-23NJD 3–2 WSH0G 0A 7S0G 0A 2S
2024-10-19NJD 5–6 WSH0G 3A 2S2G 1A 4S
2024-10-12NJD 5–3 WSH0G 1A 0S1G 0A 5S
2024-02-20NJD 2–6 WSH0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2023-11-10NJD 2–4 WSH1G 0A 5S0G 2A 3S
2023-10-25NJD 4–6 WSH1G 1A 2S0G 1A 1S
2023-04-13NJD 5–4 WSH0G 0A 3S1G 0A 4S

Latest 12 of 21 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MeierWilson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Timo Meier

2games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs PHI
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI1.8 pts

Tom Wilson

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.2 pts

FAQ

Should I start Timo Meier or Tom Wilson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tom Wilson projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Timo Meier's 1.74. Meier had 44 points in 77 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Timo Meier or Tom Wilson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Tom Wilson leads in 26 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Meier and Wilson done against each other?
In 21 games against each other in our data, Meier's team went 8–13. Meier had 16 points (3 goals) and Wilson had 15 (6 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →