Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Timo Meier vs Tomas Hertl

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tomas Hertl projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Timo Meier's 1.74.

Meier had 44 points in 77 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games.

This week Meier has 1 game left; Hertl has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Meier for 2.0 ESPN points to Hertl's 2.0.

Tomas Hertl has the better number in 20 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Meier's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.31, Transition attempts /60 2.14, 20+ mph bursts 111.

Hertl's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.010, Faceoff win % 57.8%, Draw Equity /100 +0.096.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Timo Meier

1.74

fantasy points per game

Tomas Hertl

1.88

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Tomas Hertl has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMeierHertl
Goals (+2)0.580.63
Assists (+1)0.240.37
Power-play points (+0.5)0.060.17
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.350.27
Hits (+0.1)0.170.14
Blocks (+0.5)0.320.30

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Meier vs Hertl

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MeierHertl
0Team record in 4 meetings4
0Points in those games2

Meier 0G 0A, 10 SOG · Hertl 1G 1A, 6 SOG

0Faceoffs against each other2

Meier's offensive zone 0–1 · neutral 0–0 · Meier's defensive zone 0–1 (2023-24 to 2024-25)

36Goals set up by the other32

Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).

On the ice against each other (Meier's side)

3:13 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Meier's side

Shot attempts
4–3
57.1%
Expected goals
0.0–0.2
16.3%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Timo Meier and Tomas Hertl
DateScoreMeierHertl
2025-12-05NJD 0–3 VGK0G 0A 1S1G 0A 1S
2025-03-02NJD 0–2 VGK0G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2025-02-06NJD 1–3 VGK0G 0A 0S0G 0A 3S
2023-12-01NJD 3–6 SJS0G 0A 5S0G 1A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MeierHertl

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Timo Meier

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs PHI
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI2.0 pts
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to RWvs Ilya Sorokin (.906)

Tomas Hertl

3games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs CHI
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA
    Likely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.0 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)

FAQ

Should I start Timo Meier or Tomas Hertl in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tomas Hertl projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Timo Meier's 1.74. Meier had 44 points in 77 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Timo Meier or Tomas Hertl?
On 2025-26 numbers, Tomas Hertl leads in 20 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Meier and Hertl done against each other?
In 4 games against each other in our data, Meier's team went 0–4. Meier had 0 points (0 goals) and Hertl had 2 (1 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Meier or Hertl?
Against each other, Meier has won 0 and Hertl 2 of their 2 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →