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Who to start · 2025-26

Tom Wilson vs Trevor Zegras

Tom WilsonTom WilsonCapitals · Right wingvsTrevor ZegrasTrevor ZegrasFlyers · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tom Wilson projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Trevor Zegras's 1.53.

Wilson had 62 points in 72 games; Zegras had 67 in 81 games.

This week Wilson has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Zegras has 1 left. We project Wilson for 2.3 ESPN points to Zegras's 1.2.

Tom Wilson has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Wilson's biggest edges: Hardest shot 91.2, Hits 179, Blocked shots 53.

Zegras's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.69, Offensive-zone start % 56.8%, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.036.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Tom Wilson

2.24

fantasy points per game

Trevor Zegras

1.53

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Tom Wilson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromWilsonZegras
Goals (+2)0.780.57
Assists (+1)0.480.45
Power-play points (+0.5)0.080.13
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.200.19
Hits (+0.1)0.250.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.440.15

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Wilson vs Zegras

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

WilsonZegras
4Team record in 8 meetings4
8Points in those games10

Wilson 6G 2A, 21 SOG · Zegras 4G 6A, 18 SOG

1Hits on each other0

On the ice against each other (Wilson's side)

16:57 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Wilson's side

Shot attempts
13–13
50.0%
Expected goals
0.3–1.3
18.1%
Goals
1–2

Games against each other

Games between Tom Wilson and Trevor Zegras
DateScoreWilsonZegras
2026-03-31WSH 6–4 PHI2G 0A 3S0G 1A 0S
2026-03-11WSH 1–4 PHI0G 0A 2S1G 0A 3S
2026-02-03WSH 2–4 PHI0G 0A 2S0G 1A 3S
2025-03-11WSH 7–4 ANA0G 2A 1S0G 1A 1S
2023-03-01WSH 3–2 ANA2G 0A 7S1G 1A 3S
2023-02-23WSH 2–4 ANA0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2021-12-06WSH 4–3 ANA1G 0A 1S0G 2A 3S
2021-11-16WSH 2–3 ANA1G 0A 2S2G 0A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

WilsonZegras

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Tom Wilson

2games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to RWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.3 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to RWSchedule edge −13.3 win%vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)

Trevor Zegras

3games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs PIT
    Opp allows the fewest FP to CLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2B
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.2 pts
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.0 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Tom Wilson or Trevor Zegras in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tom Wilson projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Trevor Zegras's 1.53. Wilson had 62 points in 72 games; Zegras had 67 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Tom Wilson or Trevor Zegras?
On 2025-26 numbers, Tom Wilson leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Wilson and Zegras done against each other?
In 8 games against each other in our data, Wilson's team went 4–4. Wilson had 8 points (6 goals) and Zegras had 10 (4 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →