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Who to start · 2025-26

Tom Wilson vs Vladislav Gavrikov

Tom WilsonTom WilsonCapitals · Right wingvsVladislav GavrikovVladislav GavrikovRangers · Defence

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tom Wilson projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladislav Gavrikov's 1.51.

Wilson had 62 points in 72 games; Gavrikov had 35 in 82 games.

This week Wilson has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Gavrikov has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Wilson for 2.3 ESPN points to Gavrikov's 1.0.

Tom Wilson has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Wilson's biggest edges: Plus/minus +15, Ascension score 46, Fenwick 55.8%.

Gavrikov's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Offensive-zone start % 53.0%, Net penalties drawn /60 −0.49.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Tom Wilson

2.24

fantasy points per game

Vladislav Gavrikov

1.51

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Tom Wilson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromWilsonGavrikov
Goals (+2)0.780.28
Assists (+1)0.480.21
Power-play points (+0.5)0.080.03
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.200.13
Hits (+0.1)0.250.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.440.78

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Wilson vs Gavrikov

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

WilsonGavrikov
10Team record in 16 meetings6
7Points in those games3

Wilson 3G 4A, 20 SOG · Gavrikov 1G 2A, 22 SOG

7Hits on each other1
3Shots blocked by the other2

Wilson blocked 3 of Gavrikov's shots; Gavrikov blocked 2 of Wilson's.

1Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Wilson's side)

20:47 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Wilson's side

Shot attempts
19–23
45.2%
Expected goals
0.5–1.5
25.0%
Goals
1–2

Games against each other

Games between Tom Wilson and Vladislav Gavrikov
DateScoreWilsonGavrikov
2026-04-05WSH 1–8 NYR0G 1A 1S0G 1A 2S
2025-12-31WSH 6–3 NYR2G 1A 4S0G 0A 1S
2025-10-12WSH 1–0 NYR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2025-03-13WSH 0–3 LAK0G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S
2024-12-22WSH 3–1 LAK0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2024-01-07WSH 4–3 LAK0G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2023-11-29WSH 2–1 LAK0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2023-03-06WSH 2–4 LAK0G 0A 3S1G 0A 3S
2023-01-08WSH 1–0 CBJ0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2022-02-08WSH 4–5 CBJ1G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2022-03-17WSH 7–2 CBJ0G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S
2021-12-04WSH 3–1 CBJ0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S

Latest 12 of 16 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

WilsonGavrikov

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Tom Wilson

2games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to RWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.3 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to RWSchedule edge −13.3 win%Likely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)

Vladislav Gavrikov

4games (1 left)

1.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to DLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.0 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Tom Wilson or Vladislav Gavrikov in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tom Wilson projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladislav Gavrikov's 1.51. Wilson had 62 points in 72 games; Gavrikov had 35 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Tom Wilson or Vladislav Gavrikov?
On 2025-26 numbers, Tom Wilson leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Wilson and Gavrikov done against each other?
In 16 games against each other in our data, Wilson's team went 10–6. Wilson had 7 points (3 goals) and Gavrikov had 3 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →