Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Tom Wilson vs Will Smith

Tom WilsonTom WilsonCapitals · Right wingvsWill SmithWill SmithSharks · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tom Wilson projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Will Smith's 1.94.

Wilson had 62 points in 72 games; Smith had 59 in 69 games.

This week Wilson has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Smith has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Wilson for 2.3 ESPN points to Smith's 1.9.

Tom Wilson has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Wilson's biggest edges: Hits 179, Blocked shots 53, High-danger chances 56.3%.

Smith's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 68.9%, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.10, Transition attempts /60 2.05.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Tom Wilson

2.24

fantasy points per game

Will Smith

1.94

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Tom Wilson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromWilsonSmith
Goals (+2)0.780.90
Assists (+1)0.480.54
Power-play points (+0.5)0.080.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.200.24
Hits (+0.1)0.250.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.440.08

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head

Tom Wilson and Will Smith have no head-to-head events in our data yet (regular season and playoffs since 2019-20).

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

WilsonSmith

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Tom Wilson

2games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to RW
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.3 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%

Will Smith

2games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to C
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.9 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to C

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Tom Wilson or Will Smith in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tom Wilson projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Will Smith's 1.94. Wilson had 62 points in 72 games; Smith had 59 in 69 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Tom Wilson or Will Smith?
On 2025-26 numbers, Tom Wilson leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →