Who to start · 2025-26
Tom Wilson vs Zach Werenski
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Zach Werenski projects to 2.59 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tom Wilson's 2.24.
Wilson had 62 points in 72 games; Werenski had 81 in 75 games.
This week Wilson has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Werenski has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Wilson for 2.3 ESPN points to Werenski's 1.9.
Zach Werenski has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Wilson's biggest edges: Penalty minutes 117, Hits 179, Forecheck xG /60 0.51.
Werenski's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.09, Faceoffs won 0, Transition attempts /60 1.01.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Tom Wilson
2.24
fantasy points per game
Zach Werenski
2.59
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Zach Werenski has the edge.
| Points per game from | Wilson | Werenski |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.78 | 0.55 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.48 | 0.86 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.08 | 0.16 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.20 | 0.34 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.25 | 0.04 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.44 | 0.62 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Wilson vs Werenski
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Wilson 7G 7A, 51 SOG · Werenski 5G 6A, 85 SOG
Wilson blocked 7 of Werenski's shots; Werenski blocked 4 of Wilson's.
On the ice against each other (Wilson's side)
16:49 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Wilson's side
- Shot attempts
- 21–6
- 77.8%
- Expected goals
- 0.8–0.2
- 77.3%
- Goals
- 2–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Wilson | Werenski |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-14 | WSH 2–1 CBJ | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-12-07 | WSH 2–0 CBJ | 0G 1A 6S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-11-24 | WSH 5–1 CBJ | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2025-10-24 | WSH 5–1 CBJ | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2025-04-13 | WSH 1–4 CBJ | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2025-04-12 | WSH 0–7 CBJ | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2024-12-12 | WSH 2–1 CBJ | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 6S |
| 2024-11-02 | WSH 7–2 CBJ | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2023-12-21 | WSH 3–2 CBJ | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 8S |
| 2023-11-18 | WSH 4–3 CBJ | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2023-11-04 | WSH 2–1 CBJ | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-02-08 | WSH 4–5 CBJ | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
Latest 12 of 28 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Tom Wilson
2games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ CAROpp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.3 ptsOpp allows the most FP to RWSchedule edge −13.3 win%Likely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
Zach Werenski
2games (1 left)
1.9proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs BUFOpp allows 8th-most FP to DLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.9 ptsOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Tom Wilson or Zach Werenski in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Zach Werenski projects to 2.59 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tom Wilson's 2.24. Wilson had 62 points in 72 games; Werenski had 81 in 75 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Tom Wilson or Zach Werenski?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Zach Werenski leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Wilson and Werenski done against each other?
- In 28 games against each other in our data, Wilson's team went 20–8. Wilson had 14 points (7 goals) and Werenski had 11 (5 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →