Who to start · 2025-26
Tomas Hertl vs Trevor Zegras
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tomas Hertl projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Trevor Zegras's 1.53.
Hertl had 58 points in 82 games; Zegras had 67 in 81 games.
This week Hertl has 1 game left; Zegras has 1 left. We project Hertl for 1.8 ESPN points to Zegras's 1.7.
Tomas Hertl has the better number in 20 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Hertl's biggest edges: Faceoff win % 57.8%, Draw Equity /100 +0.096, Ascension score 61.
Zegras's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.5, Luck Meter +27, On-ice PDO 1016.
Head to head on the dot, Hertl leads Zegras 11–10.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Tomas Hertl
1.88
fantasy points per game
Trevor Zegras
1.53
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Tomas Hertl has the edge.
| Points per game from | Hertl | Zegras |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.63 | 0.57 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.37 | 0.45 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.17 | 0.13 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.27 | 0.19 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.14 | 0.05 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Hertl vs Zegras
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2020-21 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Hertl 5G 12A, 29 SOG · Zegras 4G 5A, 28 SOG
Hertl's offensive zone 2–0 · neutral 5–4 · Hertl's defensive zone 4–6 (2021-22 to 2024-25)
Hertl blocked 2 of Zegras's shots; Zegras blocked 0 of Hertl's.
On the ice against each other (Hertl's side)
4:25 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Hertl's side
- Shot attempts
- 2–1
- 66.7%
- Expected goals
- 0.0–0.2
- 2.9%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Hertl | Zegras |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | VGK 1–2 PHI | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-12-11 | VGK 3–2 PHI | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2024-12-04 | VGK 4–1 ANA | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-11-13 | VGK 3–2 ANA | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-10-13 | VGK 3–1 ANA | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-04-18 | VGK 1–4 ANA | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2023-01-06 | SJS 4–5 ANA | 0G 1A 3S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2022-12-09 | SJS 6–1 ANA | 0G 2A 2S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2022-11-05 | SJS 4–5 ANA | 1G 2A 1S | 0G 2A 0S |
| 2022-11-01 | SJS 5–6 ANA | 0G 2A 0S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2022-04-26 | SJS 2–5 ANA | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2022-03-26 | SJS 4–1 ANA | 0G 2A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
Latest 12 of 15 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Tomas Hertl
3games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Tue, Sep 29 vs CHI
- Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA
- Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN1.8 pts
Trevor Zegras
3games (1 left)
1.7proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Wed, Sep 30 vs PIT
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2B
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.7 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Tomas Hertl or Trevor Zegras in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tomas Hertl projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Trevor Zegras's 1.53. Hertl had 58 points in 82 games; Zegras had 67 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Tomas Hertl or Trevor Zegras?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Tomas Hertl leads in 20 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Hertl and Zegras done against each other?
- In 15 games against each other in our data, Hertl's team went 7–8. Hertl had 17 points (5 goals) and Zegras had 9 (4 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Hertl or Zegras?
- Against each other, Hertl has won 11 and Zegras 10 of their 21 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →