Who to start · 2025-26
Tomas Hertl vs Tyler Toffoli
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tomas Hertl projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35.
Hertl had 58 points in 82 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games.
This week Hertl has 1 game left; Toffoli has 1 left. We project Hertl for 1.8 ESPN points to Toffoli's 1.4.
Tomas Hertl has the better number in 26 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Hertl's biggest edges: Ascension score 61, Faceoffs won 720, High-danger chances 59.2%.
Toffoli's biggest edges: Luck Meter +14, On-ice PDO 1006, Transition attempts /60 1.64.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Tomas Hertl
1.88
fantasy points per game
Tyler Toffoli
1.35
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Tomas Hertl has the edge.
| Points per game from | Hertl | Toffoli |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.63 | 0.45 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.37 | 0.36 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.17 | 0.09 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.14 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.30 | 0.18 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Hertl vs Toffoli
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Hertl 10G 10A, 51 SOG · Toffoli 5G 6A, 61 SOG
Hertl's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–0 · Hertl's defensive zone 1–2 (2021-22 to 2025-26)
Hertl blocked 2 of Toffoli's shots; Toffoli blocked 0 of Hertl's.
On the ice against each other (Hertl's side)
9:51 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Hertl's side
- Shot attempts
- 15–11
- 57.7%
- Expected goals
- 0.8–0.6
- 55.7%
- Goals
- 0–3
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Hertl | Toffoli |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-11 | VGK 7–2 SJS | 2G 3A 3S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-12-23 | VGK 7–2 SJS | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2025-11-29 | VGK 4–3 SJS | 2G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-10-09 | VGK 4–3 SJS | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-01-07 | VGK 4–2 SJS | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-12-27 | VGK 6–3 SJS | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2024-10-26 | VGK 7–3 SJS | 0G 2A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-12-01 | SJS 6–3 NJD | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2023-04-12 | SJS 1–3 CGY | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 7S |
| 2023-03-25 | SJS 3–5 CGY | 0G 0A 1S | 2G 0A 2S |
| 2022-12-18 | SJS 2–5 CGY | 1G 1A 5S | 1G 1A 1S |
| 2022-04-07 | SJS 2–4 CGY | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
Latest 12 of 25 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Tomas Hertl
3games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Tue, Sep 29 vs CHI
- Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA
- Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN1.8 ptsSchedule edge +9.3 win%
Tyler Toffoli
2games (1 left)
1.4proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
- Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.4 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Tomas Hertl or Tyler Toffoli in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tomas Hertl projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35. Hertl had 58 points in 82 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Tomas Hertl or Tyler Toffoli?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Tomas Hertl leads in 26 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Hertl and Toffoli done against each other?
- In 25 games against each other in our data, Hertl's team went 16–9. Hertl had 20 points (10 goals) and Toffoli had 11 (5 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Hertl or Toffoli?
- Against each other, Hertl has won 1 and Toffoli 2 of their 3 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →