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Who to start · 2025-26

Tomas Hertl vs Viktor Arvidsson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tomas Hertl projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Viktor Arvidsson's 1.72.

Hertl had 58 points in 82 games; Arvidsson had 54 in 69 games.

This week Hertl has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Arvidsson has 1 left. We project Hertl for 2.0 ESPN points to Arvidsson's 2.0.

Tomas Hertl has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Hertl's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 720, High-danger chances 59.2%, Hits 114.

Arvidsson's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1065, Luck Meter +77, Goals above expected +2.7.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Tomas Hertl

1.88

fantasy points per game

Viktor Arvidsson

1.72

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Tomas Hertl has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromHertlArvidsson
Goals (+2)0.630.68
Assists (+1)0.370.39
Power-play points (+0.5)0.170.06
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.270.24
Hits (+0.1)0.140.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.300.31

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Hertl vs Arvidsson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

HertlArvidsson
7Team record in 16 meetings9
10Points in those games14

Hertl 4G 6A, 60 SOG · Arvidsson 7G 7A, 42 SOG

1Faceoffs against each other0

Hertl's offensive zone 1–0 · neutral 0–0 · Hertl's defensive zone 0–0 (2017-18)

2Shots blocked by the other0

Hertl blocked 2 of Arvidsson's shots; Arvidsson blocked 0 of Hertl's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Hertl's side)

6:27 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Hertl's side

Shot attempts
15–4
78.9%
Expected goals
1.0–0.2
83.7%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Tomas Hertl and Viktor Arvidsson
DateScoreHertlArvidsson
2026-01-22VGK 3–4 BOS1G 0A 9S0G 0A 5S
2025-10-16VGK 6–5 BOS1G 0A 6S0G 0A 1S
2025-05-10 · POVGK 4–3 EDM0G 0A 6S0G 0A 1S
2025-05-08 · POVGK 4–5 EDM0G 0A 1S0G 2A 1S
2025-05-06 · POVGK 2–4 EDM0G 0A 1S0G 0A 5S
2024-11-06VGK 4–2 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 0A 5S
2022-12-17SJS 2–3 LAK0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2022-11-25SJS 2–5 LAK0G 1A 4S1G 1A 2S
2022-01-17SJS 6–2 LAK0G 4A 0S0G 1A 2S
2019-11-09SJS 2–1 NSH1G 0A 5S0G 0A 2S
2019-10-08SJS 2–5 NSH0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2019-03-16SJS 2–4 NSH0G 0A 3S2G 0A 2S

Latest 12 of 16 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

HertlArvidsson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Tomas Hertl

3games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs CHI
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to CLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.0 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)

Viktor Arvidsson

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.0 pts
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to LWLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)

FAQ

Should I start Tomas Hertl or Viktor Arvidsson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tomas Hertl projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Viktor Arvidsson's 1.72. Hertl had 58 points in 82 games; Arvidsson had 54 in 69 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Tomas Hertl or Viktor Arvidsson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Tomas Hertl leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Hertl and Arvidsson done against each other?
In 16 games against each other in our data, Hertl's team went 7–9. Hertl had 10 points (4 goals) and Arvidsson had 14 (7 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Hertl or Arvidsson?
Against each other, Hertl has won 1 and Arvidsson 0 of their 1 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →