Who to start · 2025-26
Tomas Hertl vs Wyatt Johnston
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Wyatt Johnston projects to 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tomas Hertl's 1.88.
Hertl had 58 points in 82 games; Johnston had 86 in 82 games.
This week Hertl has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Johnston has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Johnston for 2.5 ESPN points to Hertl's 2.0.
Wyatt Johnston has the better number in 18 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Hertl's biggest edges: Corsi 56.2%, Fenwick 55.5%, Draw Equity /100 +0.096.
Johnston's biggest edges: Goals above expected +4.9, On-ice PDO 1026, Luck Meter +27.
Head to head on the dot, Hertl leads Johnston 36–20.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Tomas Hertl
1.88
fantasy points per game
Wyatt Johnston
2.41
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Wyatt Johnston has the edge.
| Points per game from | Hertl | Johnston |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.63 | 1.03 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.37 | 0.47 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.17 | 0.24 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.14 | 0.07 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Hertl vs Johnston
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Hertl 4G 4A, 26 SOG · Johnston 9G 7A, 51 SOG
Hertl's offensive zone 20–13 · neutral 10–6 · Hertl's defensive zone 6–1 (2022-23 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Hertl's side)
3:55 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Hertl's side
- Shot attempts
- 6–3
- 66.7%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–0.3
- 38.5%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Hertl | Johnston |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | VGK 3–2 DAL | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2026-03-10 | VGK 1–2 DAL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2026-01-29 | VGK 4–5 DAL | 0G 1A 0S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2025-01-28 | VGK 3–4 DAL | 1G 0A 2S | 3G 0A 5S |
| 2025-01-24 | VGK 3–4 DAL | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 2A 4S |
| 2024-12-06 | VGK 3–2 DAL | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2024-05-05 · PO | VGK 1–2 DAL | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2024-05-03 · PO | VGK 2–0 DAL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-05-01 · PO | VGK 2–3 DAL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 2A 3S |
| 2024-04-29 · PO | VGK 2–4 DAL | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 6S |
| 2024-04-27 · PO | VGK 2–3 DAL | 0G 0A 2S | 2G 0A 8S |
| 2024-04-24 · PO | VGK 3–1 DAL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
Latest 12 of 16 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Tomas Hertl
3games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs CHIOpp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs ANAOpp allows 9th-most FP to CLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.0 ptsOpp allows 6th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
Wyatt Johnston
2games (1 left)
2.5proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs STLOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B2.5 ptsOpp allows 10th-most FP to CSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Tomas Hertl or Wyatt Johnston in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Wyatt Johnston projects to 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tomas Hertl's 1.88. Hertl had 58 points in 82 games; Johnston had 86 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Tomas Hertl or Wyatt Johnston?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Wyatt Johnston leads in 18 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Hertl and Johnston done against each other?
- In 16 games against each other in our data, Hertl's team went 7–9. Hertl had 8 points (4 goals) and Johnston had 16 (9 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Hertl or Johnston?
- Against each other, Hertl has won 36 and Johnston 20 of their 56 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →