Who to start · 2025-26
Tyler Toffoli vs Vince Dunn
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Vince Dunn projects to 1.83 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35.
Toffoli had 49 points in 79 games; Dunn had 44 in 81 games.
This week Toffoli has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Dunn has 2 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Dunn for 3.6 ESPN points to Toffoli's 1.5.
Tyler Toffoli has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Toffoli's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.004, Transition attempts /60 1.64, High-danger chances 47.3%.
Dunn's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Ascension score 54, Penalty minutes 54.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Tyler Toffoli
1.35
fantasy points per game
Vince Dunn
1.83
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Vince Dunn has the edge.
| Points per game from | Toffoli | Dunn |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.45 | 0.38 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.36 | 0.51 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.09 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.06 | 0.04 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.18 | 0.53 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Toffoli vs Dunn
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Toffoli 10G 5A, 58 SOG · Dunn 2G 6A, 43 SOG
Toffoli blocked 1 of Dunn's shots; Dunn blocked 2 of Toffoli's.
On the ice against each other (Toffoli's side)
14:22 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Toffoli's side
- Shot attempts
- 19–14
- 57.6%
- Expected goals
- 0.7–0.6
- 53.6%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Toffoli | Dunn |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-20 | SJS 2–4 SEA | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-11-15 | SJS 1–4 SEA | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-11-05 | SJS 6–1 SEA | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2025-04-05 | SJS 1–5 SEA | 0G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-01-30 | SJS 2–6 SEA | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-11-30 | SJS 4–2 SEA | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-02-12 | NJD 3–1 SEA | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-12-07 | NJD 2–1 SEA | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2023-01-27 | CGY 5–2 SEA | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-12-28 | CGY 3–2 SEA | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2022-11-01 | CGY 4–5 SEA | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2022-04-12 | CGY 5–3 SEA | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
Latest 12 of 23 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Tyler Toffoli
2games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs FLAOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.5 ptsOpp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)
Vince Dunn
3games (2 left)
3.6proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ CGYOpp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.8 ptsOpp allows 13th-most FP to DLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.8 ptsOpp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Tyler Toffoli or Vince Dunn in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Vince Dunn projects to 1.83 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35. Toffoli had 49 points in 79 games; Dunn had 44 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Tyler Toffoli or Vince Dunn?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Tyler Toffoli leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Toffoli and Dunn done against each other?
- In 23 games against each other in our data, Toffoli's team went 12–11. Toffoli had 15 points (10 goals) and Dunn had 8 (2 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →