2026 season · through Week 4
Defense vs QB: Fantasy Points Allowed to QBs
All 32 defenses ranked by fantasy points allowed to QBs, raw and adjusted for the offenses they faced. Most generous right now: DAL, WAS, DET.
DvP is noisy this early: weight it lightly. After 4 weeks, most of each rating is last season and the league average, by design.
How reliable is DvP vs QB? Split-half reliability 0.47, year-over-year 0.06 (2023–25). Some within-season consistency, almost none year to year.
Defense vs position table
| DALDallas Cowboys | 32 | 23.4 | +7.6 | 18.4 |
| WASWashington Commanders | 31 | 22.5 | +8.5 | 18.4 |
| DETDetroit Lions | 30 | 27.9 | +8.0 | 18.2 |
| BUFBuffalo Bills | 29 | 21.3 | +7.8 | 18.0 |
| ARIArizona Cardinals | 28 | 21.0 | +5.2 | 17.7 |
| GBGreen Bay Packers | 27 | 15.0 | +4.6 | 17.5 |
| CARCarolina Panthers | 26 | 19.4 | +3.7 | 17.3 |
| CINCincinnati Bengals | 25 | 16.1 | +1.5 | 17.2 |
| CLECleveland Browns | 24 | 18.4 | +2.5 | 17.1 |
| INDIndianapolis Colts | 23 | 20.5 | +1.3 | 17.1 |
| SFSan Francisco 49ers | 22 | 14.3 | +0.6 | 16.9 |
| BALBaltimore Ravens | 21 | 16.5 | +0.3 | 16.9 |
| LVLas Vegas Raiders | 20 | 16.4 | +0.6 | 16.8 |
| PHIPhiladelphia Eagles | 19 | 18.0 | +0.8 | 16.8 |
| NYGNew York Giants | 18 | 15.3 | −1.3 | 16.7 |
| HOUHouston Texans | 17 | 19.5 | +0.4 | 16.6 |
| TBTampa Bay Buccaneers | 16 | 14.3 | −2.2 | 16.6 |
| PITPittsburgh Steelers | 15 | 12.3 | −2.3 | 16.6 |
| CHIChicago Bears | 14 | 14.9 | −2.2 | 16.6 |
| ATLAtlanta Falcons | 13 | 17.7 | −1.8 | 16.5 |
| JAXJacksonville Jaguars | 12 | 14.3 | −1.8 | 16.5 |
| NONew Orleans Saints | 11 | 16.5 | −1.3 | 16.5 |
| KCKansas City Chiefs | 10 | 12.4 | −1.4 | 16.5 |
| MIAMiami Dolphins | 9 | 17.4 | −2.6 | 16.4 |
| LARLos Angeles Rams | 8 | 15.5 | −2.4 | 16.4 |
| TENTennessee Titans | 7 | 13.7 | −3.6 | 16.3 |
| DENDenver Broncos | 6 | 17.1 | −3.2 | 16.2 |
| SEASeattle Seahawks | 5 | 11.6 | −3.7 | 16.1 |
| NYJNew York Jets | 4 | 13.4 | −6.1 | 16.0 |
| LACLos Angeles Chargers | 3 | 16.9 | −4.7 | 15.9 |
| MINMinnesota Vikings | 2 | 10.5 | −5.3 | 15.6 |
| NENew England Patriots | 1 | 14.0 | −7.6 | 15.5 |
How this works
For every game we sum the fantasy points an offense’s QBs, RBs, WRs and TEs scored. Expected = that offense’s average at the position in its other games this season. A defense’s raw adjustment is its average of actual minus expected. We shrink it with empirical Bayes toward a prior (last season’s adjustment times the year-over-year correlation: QB 0.06, RB 0.34, WR 0, TE 0.2), using variances fitted on complete past seasons, so early-season ranks compress toward the middle on purpose.
Rank 1 is the stingiest defense, 32 the most generous. Half-PPR and standard rows are computed the same way from the same stat lines.
Sources: nflverse weekly player statsUpdated Tue, Oct 6, 2:39 PM ET
Frequently asked questions
What is defense vs position (DvP)?
Fantasy points a defense allows to quarterbacks, running backs, receivers or tight ends per game. We also adjust for the offenses it faced: allowing a lot to tight ends because you played two elite ones is not a weakness.
How much should I trust DvP?
Very little early in the season. In 2023–25, splitting each season into odd and even weeks, DvP ranks agreed only weakly (reliability 0.47 for QBs, 0.43 RBs, 0.32 WRs and 0 for TEs), and a defense’s first half did not predict its second half much better than assuming average. We shrink every defense hard toward last season and the league: after four games a defense keeps only 7–18% weight on its own results.
What is the difference between raw and adjusted?
Raw is points allowed per game. “Raw vs exp” subtracts what the same offenses scored at that position in their other games. “Adjusted” is the league average plus that difference after shrinkage, which is what we expect going forward.
Which rank is a good matchup?
Rank 32 allows the most adjusted points (best matchup), rank 1 the fewest. Our waiver reasons only mention DvP at the extremes (8th or better, 25th or worse) and never use it in scores.