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Who to start · 2025-26

Adam Fantilli vs Mattias Samuelsson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mattias Samuelsson projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Fantilli's 1.92.

Fantilli had 59 points in 82 games; Samuelsson had 41 in 78 games.

This week Fantilli has 1 game left; Samuelsson has 1 left. We project Samuelsson for 2.0 ESPN points to Fantilli's 1.8.

Adam Fantilli has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Fantilli's biggest edges: Power-play share 67.0%, Offensive-zone start % 73.2%, Offensive-zone time 43.6%.

Samuelsson's biggest edges: Goals above expected +4.6, Luck Meter +79, Plus/minus +41.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adam Fantilli

1.92

fantasy points per game

Mattias Samuelsson

2.01

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mattias Samuelsson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromFantilliSamuelsson
Goals (+2)0.670.44
Assists (+1)0.400.34
Power-play points (+0.5)0.070.00
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.260.14
Hits (+0.1)0.200.16
Blocks (+0.5)0.320.93

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Fantilli vs Samuelsson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

FantilliSamuelsson
6Team record in 8 meetings2
5Points in those games3

Fantilli 4G 1A, 19 SOG · Samuelsson 1G 2A, 11 SOG

0Hits on each other1
0Shots blocked by the other1

Fantilli blocked 0 of Samuelsson's shots; Samuelsson blocked 1 of Fantilli's.

On the ice against each other (Fantilli's side)

21:14 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Fantilli's side

Shot attempts
26–22
54.2%
Expected goals
1.0–0.7
59.7%
Goals
2–0

Games against each other

Games between Adam Fantilli and Mattias Samuelsson
DateScoreFantilliSamuelsson
2026-10-01CBJ 6–3 BUF1G 0A 2S1G 0A 1S
2026-04-09CBJ 0–5 BUF0G 0A 5S0G 0A 2S
2026-01-03CBJ 5–1 BUF0G 0A 3S0G 0A 4S
2025-10-28CBJ 4–3 BUF0G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S
2025-04-10CBJ 3–2 BUF0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2024-10-17CBJ 6–4 BUF1G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2023-12-30CBJ 2–3 BUF1G 0A 1S0G 1A 0S
2023-12-19CBJ 9–4 BUF1G 1A 2S0G 0A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

FantilliSamuelsson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adam Fantilli

2games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs BUF
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.8 pts

Mattias Samuelsson

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJ
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.0 pts

FAQ

Should I start Adam Fantilli or Mattias Samuelsson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mattias Samuelsson projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Fantilli's 1.92. Fantilli had 59 points in 82 games; Samuelsson had 41 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adam Fantilli or Mattias Samuelsson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Adam Fantilli leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Fantilli and Samuelsson done against each other?
In 8 games against each other in our data, Fantilli's team went 6–2. Fantilli had 5 points (4 goals) and Samuelsson had 3 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →