Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Adam Fantilli vs Morgan Rielly

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adam Fantilli projects to 1.92 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Rielly's 1.61.

Fantilli had 59 points in 82 games; Rielly had 36 in 78 games.

This week Fantilli has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Rielly has 1 left. We project Fantilli for 1.6 ESPN points to Rielly's 1.5.

Adam Fantilli has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Fantilli's biggest edges: Hardest shot 88.4, Hits 139, Expected goals 51.7%.

Rielly's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.9, Ascension score 60, Luck Meter −1.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adam Fantilli

1.92

fantasy points per game

Morgan Rielly

1.61

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Adam Fantilli has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromFantilliRielly
Goals (+2)0.670.25
Assists (+1)0.400.40
Power-play points (+0.5)0.070.06
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.260.17
Hits (+0.1)0.200.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.320.67

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Fantilli vs Rielly

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

FantilliRielly
6Team record in 9 meetings3
8Points in those games5

Fantilli 6G 2A, 27 SOG · Rielly 0G 5A, 17 SOG

1Hits on each other0
0Shots blocked by the other2

Fantilli blocked 0 of Rielly's shots; Rielly blocked 2 of Fantilli's.

On the ice against each other (Fantilli's side)

16:23 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Fantilli's side

Shot attempts
23–16
59.0%
Expected goals
1.1–0.4
71.5%
Goals
2–1

Games against each other

Games between Adam Fantilli and Morgan Rielly
DateScoreFantilliRielly
2025-11-26CBJ 1–2 TOR0G 0A 7S0G 0A 2S
2025-11-20CBJ 3–2 TOR2G 1A 3S0G 0A 1S
2025-10-29CBJ 6–3 TOR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2025-04-05CBJ 0–5 TOR0G 0A 3S0G 2A 1S
2025-01-22CBJ 5–1 TOR3G 0A 4S0G 0A 0S
2024-10-22CBJ 6–2 TOR0G 0A 3S0G 0A 3S
2023-12-29CBJ 6–5 TOR1G 0A 2S0G 3A 2S
2023-12-23CBJ 1–4 TOR0G 1A 1S0G 0A 4S
2023-12-14CBJ 6–5 TOR0G 0A 3S0G 0A 4S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

FantilliRielly

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adam Fantilli

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs BUF
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to CLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.6 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Morgan Rielly

3games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.5 pts
    Likely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

FAQ

Should I start Adam Fantilli or Morgan Rielly in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adam Fantilli projects to 1.92 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Rielly's 1.61. Fantilli had 59 points in 82 games; Rielly had 36 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adam Fantilli or Morgan Rielly?
On 2025-26 numbers, Adam Fantilli leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Fantilli and Rielly done against each other?
In 9 games against each other in our data, Fantilli's team went 6–3. Fantilli had 8 points (6 goals) and Rielly had 5 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →