Who to start · 2025-26
Adam Fox vs Erik Karlsson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adam Fox projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Erik Karlsson's 1.96.
Fox had 53 points in 55 games; Karlsson had 66 in 75 games.
This week Fox has 1 game left; Karlsson has 1 left. We project Fox for 2.2 ESPN points to Karlsson's 1.9.
Adam Fox has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Fox's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.041, Sequence xG 56.3%, High-danger chances 64.3%.
Karlsson's biggest edges: Top skating speed 23.7, Hardest shot 96.6, 20+ mph bursts 153.
- • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 3 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Adam Fox
2.13
fantasy points per game
Erik Karlsson
1.96
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Adam Fox has the edge.
| Points per game from | Fox | Karlsson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.27 | 0.38 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.83 | 0.70 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.15 | 0.24 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.04 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.62 | 0.43 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Fox vs Karlsson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Fox 6G 7A, 26 SOG · Karlsson 1G 5A, 20 SOG
Fox blocked 4 of Karlsson's shots; Karlsson blocked 0 of Fox's.
On the ice against each other (Fox's side)
16:23 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Fox's side
- Shot attempts
- 12–14
- 46.2%
- Expected goals
- 0.6–1.3
- 30.6%
- Goals
- 2–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Fox | Karlsson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | NYR 3–2 PIT | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2025-10-11 | NYR 6–1 PIT | 2G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-10-07 | NYR 0–3 PIT | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-02-23 | NYR 5–3 PIT | 1G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-02-07 | NYR 2–3 PIT | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-12-06 | NYR 4–2 PIT | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2024-10-09 | NYR 6–0 PIT | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-04-01 | NYR 2–5 PIT | 0G 1A 6S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-03-16 | NYR 7–4 PIT | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2022-11-19 | NYR 2–1 SJS | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2022-10-20 | NYR 2–3 SJS | 0G 1A 0S | 1G 1A 1S |
| 2022-01-13 | NYR 3–0 SJS | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 5S |
Latest 12 of 14 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Adam Fox
4games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
- Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
- Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA2.2 pts
Erik Karlsson
2games (1 left)
1.9proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Wed, Sep 30 @ PHI
- Sat, Oct 3 vs MTL1.9 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Adam Fox or Erik Karlsson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adam Fox projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Erik Karlsson's 1.96. Fox had 53 points in 55 games; Karlsson had 66 in 75 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Adam Fox or Erik Karlsson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Adam Fox leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Fox and Karlsson done against each other?
- In 14 games against each other in our data, Fox's team went 10–4. Fox had 13 points (6 goals) and Karlsson had 6 (1 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →