Who to start · 2025-26
Adam Fox vs Jake Guentzel
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake Guentzel projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Fox's 2.13.
Fox had 53 points in 55 games; Guentzel had 88 in 81 games.
This week Fox has 1 game left; Guentzel has 1 left. We project Guentzel for 2.3 ESPN points to Fox's 2.2.
Jake Guentzel has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Fox's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 −0.14, Faceoffs won 0, Offensive-zone time 48.0%.
Guentzel's biggest edges: Penalty minutes 61, Ascension score 53, 20+ mph bursts 99.
- • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 3 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Adam Fox
2.13
fantasy points per game
Jake Guentzel
2.21
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Jake Guentzel has the edge.
| Points per game from | Fox | Guentzel |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.27 | 0.88 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.83 | 0.58 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.21 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.15 | 0.28 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.04 | 0.05 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.62 | 0.24 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Fox vs Guentzel
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Fox 7G 25A, 76 SOG · Guentzel 19G 10A, 133 SOG
Fox blocked 6 of Guentzel's shots; Guentzel blocked 1 of Fox's.
On the ice against each other (Fox's side)
10:42 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Fox's side
- Shot attempts
- 3–15
- 16.7%
- Expected goals
- 0.1–0.7
- 11.1%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Fox | Guentzel |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | NYR 5–1 TBL | 0G 2A 0S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2025-11-29 | NYR 1–4 TBL | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2025-11-12 | NYR 7–3 TBL | 0G 2A 0S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2025-04-17 | NYR 4–0 TBL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-04-07 | NYR 1–5 TBL | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 3A 2S |
| 2024-12-28 | NYR 2–6 TBL | 0G 1A 3S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2024-05-16 · PO | NYR 5–3 CAR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-05-13 · PO | NYR 1–4 CAR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-05-11 · PO | NYR 3–4 CAR | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 6S |
| 2024-05-09 · PO | NYR 3–2 CAR | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2024-05-07 · PO | NYR 4–3 CAR | 0G 1A 2S | 2G 0A 5S |
| 2024-05-05 · PO | NYR 4–3 CAR | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 1A 5S |
Latest 12 of 37 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Adam Fox
4games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
- Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2BSchedule edge −9.3 win%
- Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA2.2 ptsSchedule edge +9.3 win%
Jake Guentzel
2games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NYR
- Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH2.3 ptsSchedule edge +9.3 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Adam Fox or Jake Guentzel in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake Guentzel projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Fox's 2.13. Fox had 53 points in 55 games; Guentzel had 88 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Adam Fox or Jake Guentzel?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Jake Guentzel leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Fox and Guentzel done against each other?
- In 37 games against each other in our data, Fox's team went 20–17. Fox had 32 points (7 goals) and Guentzel had 29 (19 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →

