Who to start · 2025-26
Adam Fox vs John Carlson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adam Fox projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to John Carlson's 2.10.
Fox had 53 points in 55 games; Carlson had 60 in 71 games.
This week Fox has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Carlson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Carlson for 1.6 ESPN points to Fox's 1.5.
Adam Fox has the better number in 17 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Fox's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.041, Net penalties drawn /60 −0.14, Offensive-zone time 48.0%.
Carlson's biggest edges: Hardest shot 99.8, Top skating speed 22.5, Ascension score 53.
- • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 3 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Adam Fox
2.13
fantasy points per game
John Carlson
2.10
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Adam Fox has the edge.
| Points per game from | Fox | Carlson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.27 | 0.37 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.83 | 0.61 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.21 | 0.09 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.15 | 0.23 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.04 | 0.04 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.62 | 0.76 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Fox vs Carlson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Fox 4G 16A, 48 SOG · Carlson 3G 17A, 69 SOG
Fox blocked 6 of Carlson's shots; Carlson blocked 3 of Fox's.
On the ice against each other (Fox's side)
16:27 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Fox's side
- Shot attempts
- 15–15
- 50.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.5–0.6
- 46.2%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Fox | Carlson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | NYR 5–1 TBL | 0G 2A 0S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2025-12-31 | NYR 3–6 WSH | 1G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-10-12 | NYR 0–1 WSH | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-01-04 | NYR 4–7 WSH | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-10-29 | NYR 3–5 WSH | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2024-04-28 · PO | NYR 4–2 WSH | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-04-26 · PO | NYR 3–1 WSH | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2024-04-23 · PO | NYR 4–3 WSH | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2024-04-21 · PO | NYR 4–1 WSH | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2024-01-14 | NYR 2–1 WSH | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-01-13 | NYR 2–3 WSH | 2G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2023-12-27 | NYR 5–1 WSH | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
Latest 12 of 28 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Adam Fox
4games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ BOSOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs TBLOpp allows 7th-most FP to DLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2BOpp allows 15th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 ptsOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
John Carlson
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NYROpp allows 9th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.6 ptsOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Adam Fox or John Carlson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adam Fox projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to John Carlson's 2.10. Fox had 53 points in 55 games; Carlson had 60 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Adam Fox or John Carlson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Adam Fox leads in 17 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Fox and Carlson done against each other?
- In 28 games against each other in our data, Fox's team went 16–12. Fox had 20 points (4 goals) and Carlson had 20 (3 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →