Who to start · 2025-26
Adam Fox vs Mattias Samuelsson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adam Fox projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Samuelsson's 2.01.
Fox had 53 points in 55 games; Samuelsson had 41 in 78 games.
This week Fox has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Samuelsson has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Samuelsson for 2.0 ESPN points to Fox's 1.5.
Adam Fox has the better number in 17 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Fox's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 48.0%, Power-play share 78.5%, Power-play time per game 3:18.
Samuelsson's biggest edges: Hardest shot 98.1, Top skating speed 22.8, Hits 132.
- • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 3 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Adam Fox
2.13
fantasy points per game
Mattias Samuelsson
2.01
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Adam Fox has the edge.
| Points per game from | Fox | Samuelsson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.27 | 0.44 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.83 | 0.34 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.21 | 0.00 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.02 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.04 | 0.16 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.62 | 0.93 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Fox vs Samuelsson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2020-21 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Fox 4G 11A, 20 SOG · Samuelsson 0G 1A, 7 SOG
Fox blocked 2 of Samuelsson's shots; Samuelsson blocked 1 of Fox's.
On the ice against each other (Fox's side)
15:15 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Fox's side
- Shot attempts
- 13–18
- 41.9%
- Expected goals
- 0.1–0.3
- 33.8%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Fox | Samuelsson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | NYR 3–5 BUF | 1G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-10-09 | NYR 4–0 BUF | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-02-22 | NYR 2–8 BUF | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-12-11 | NYR 3–2 BUF | 1G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-12-23 | NYR 4–3 BUF | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-10-12 | NYR 5–1 BUF | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-04-10 | NYR 2–3 BUF | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-03-31 | NYR 2–3 BUF | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-03-11 | NYR 2–1 BUF | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-03-27 | NYR 5–4 BUF | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2021-04-27 | NYR 3–1 BUF | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2021-04-25 | NYR 6–3 BUF | 0G 3A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Adam Fox
4games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ BOSOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs TBLOpp allows 7th-most FP to DLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2BOpp allows 15th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 ptsOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
Mattias Samuelsson
2games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.0 ptsOpp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Adam Fox or Mattias Samuelsson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adam Fox projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Samuelsson's 2.01. Fox had 53 points in 55 games; Samuelsson had 41 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Adam Fox or Mattias Samuelsson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Adam Fox leads in 17 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Fox and Samuelsson done against each other?
- In 12 games against each other in our data, Fox's team went 8–4. Fox had 15 points (4 goals) and Samuelsson had 1 (0 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →