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Who to start · 2025-26

Adam Fox vs Mitch Marner

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adam Fox projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mitch Marner's 1.88.

Fox had 53 points in 55 games; Marner had 80 in 81 games.

This week Fox has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Marner has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Marner for 2.3 ESPN points to Fox's 1.5.

Mitch Marner has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Fox's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 0.53, Forecheck xG /60 0.36, Faceoffs won 0.

Marner's biggest edges: Blocked shots 46, Hardest shot 86.3, Ascension score 47.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 3 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adam Fox

2.13

fantasy points per game

Mitch Marner

1.88

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Adam Fox has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromFoxMarner
Goals (+2)0.270.52
Assists (+1)0.830.67
Power-play points (+0.5)0.210.16
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.150.21
Hits (+0.1)0.040.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.620.28

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Fox vs Marner

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

FoxMarner
7Team record in 15 meetings8
7Points in those games12

Fox 2G 5A, 28 SOG · Marner 7G 5A, 32 SOG

3Hits on each other1
3Shots blocked by the other0

Fox blocked 3 of Marner's shots; Marner blocked 0 of Fox's.

On the ice against each other (Fox's side)

6:20 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Fox's side

Shot attempts
13–5
72.2%
Expected goals
0.2–0.2
55.6%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Adam Fox and Mitch Marner
DateScoreFoxMarner
2025-11-18NYR 2–3 VGK0G 0A 4S0G 1A 1S
2025-03-20NYR 3–4 TOR0G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S
2024-10-19NYR 4–1 TOR0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2024-03-02NYR 3–4 TOR0G 1A 3S1G 0A 1S
2023-12-19NYR 5–2 TOR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2023-12-12NYR 3–7 TOR0G 1A 1S2G 1A 3S
2023-04-13NYR 2–3 TOR0G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S
2023-01-25NYR 2–3 TOR0G 0A 3S1G 0A 4S
2022-12-15NYR 3–1 TOR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2022-01-19NYR 6–3 TOR2G 1A 2S1G 1A 4S
2021-11-18NYR 1–2 TOR0G 0A 0S0G 0A 3S
2021-10-18NYR 2–1 TOR0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S

Latest 12 of 15 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

FoxMarner

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adam Fox

4games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to DLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Mitch Marner

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.3 pts
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)

FAQ

Should I start Adam Fox or Mitch Marner in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adam Fox projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mitch Marner's 1.88. Fox had 53 points in 55 games; Marner had 80 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adam Fox or Mitch Marner?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mitch Marner leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Fox and Marner done against each other?
In 15 games against each other in our data, Fox's team went 7–8. Fox had 7 points (2 goals) and Marner had 12 (7 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →