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Who to start · 2025-26

Adam Fox vs Morgan Frost

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adam Fox projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Frost's 1.30.

Fox had 53 points in 55 games; Frost had 43 in 82 games.

This week Fox has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Frost has 2 left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups. We project Frost for 2.6 ESPN points to Fox's 1.5.

Adam Fox has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Fox's biggest edges: High-danger chances 64.3%, Scoring chances 59.9%, Sequence xG 56.3%.

Frost's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 142, Top skating speed 22.7, Blocked shots 39.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 3 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adam Fox

2.13

fantasy points per game

Morgan Frost

1.30

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Adam Fox has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromFoxFrost
Goals (+2)0.270.50
Assists (+1)0.830.24
Power-play points (+0.5)0.210.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.150.17
Hits (+0.1)0.040.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.620.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Fox vs Frost

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

FoxFrost
10Team record in 16 meetings6
9Points in those games5

Fox 2G 7A, 34 SOG · Frost 2G 3A, 29 SOG

1Shots blocked by the other1

Fox blocked 1 of Frost's shots; Frost blocked 1 of Fox's.

On the ice against each other (Fox's side)

8:51 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Fox's side

Shot attempts
13–5
72.2%
Expected goals
0.6–0.4
60.2%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Adam Fox and Morgan Frost
DateScoreFoxFrost
2026-03-10NYR 4–0 CGY0G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S
2025-10-26NYR 1–5 CGY0G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2025-03-18NYR 1–2 CGY0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2025-01-23NYR 6–1 PHI1G 1A 4S0G 1A 0S
2024-11-29NYR 1–3 PHI0G 0A 0S0G 0A 0S
2024-04-11NYR 1–4 PHI0G 1A 2S0G 0A 0S
2024-03-26NYR 6–5 PHI1G 1A 4S0G 1A 3S
2024-02-24NYR 2–1 PHI0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2023-03-01NYR 3–2 PHI0G 0A 0S0G 0A 3S
2022-12-17NYR 6–3 PHI0G 0A 1S1G 0A 3S
2022-11-01NYR 1–0 PHI0G 0A 4S0G 0A 0S
2022-04-13NYR 4–0 PHI0G 0A 4S0G 0A 3S

Latest 12 of 16 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

FoxFrost

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adam Fox

4games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to DLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Morgan Frost

3games (2 left)

2.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs SEA
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ VAN1.6 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CSchedule edge +3.5 win%Likely vs Leevi Meriläinen (.860)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ SEAB2B1.0 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Adam Fox or Morgan Frost in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adam Fox projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Frost's 1.30. Fox had 53 points in 55 games; Frost had 43 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adam Fox or Morgan Frost?
On 2025-26 numbers, Adam Fox leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Fox and Frost done against each other?
In 16 games against each other in our data, Fox's team went 10–6. Fox had 9 points (2 goals) and Frost had 5 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →