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Who to start · 2025-26

Adam Fox vs Morgan Rielly

Adam FoxAdam FoxRangers · DefencevsMorgan RiellyMorgan RiellyMaple Leafs · Defence

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adam Fox projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Rielly's 1.61.

Fox had 53 points in 55 games; Rielly had 36 in 78 games.

This week Fox has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Rielly has 1 left. We project Fox for 1.5 ESPN points to Rielly's 1.5.

Adam Fox has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Fox's biggest edges: Expected goals 56.2%, Sequence xG 56.3%, Plus/minus +5.

Rielly's biggest edges: Ascension score 60, Top skating speed 22.7, 20+ mph bursts 71.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 3 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adam Fox

2.13

fantasy points per game

Morgan Rielly

1.61

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Adam Fox has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromFoxRielly
Goals (+2)0.270.25
Assists (+1)0.830.40
Power-play points (+0.5)0.210.06
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.150.17
Hits (+0.1)0.040.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.620.67

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Fox vs Rielly

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

FoxRielly
6Team record in 15 meetings9
10Points in those games7

Fox 2G 8A, 23 SOG · Rielly 2G 5A, 37 SOG

3Shots blocked by the other2

Fox blocked 3 of Rielly's shots; Rielly blocked 2 of Fox's.

On the ice against each other (Fox's side)

17:38 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Fox's side

Shot attempts
18–18
50.0%
Expected goals
0.9–0.4
68.3%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Adam Fox and Morgan Rielly
DateScoreFoxRielly
2026-03-25NYR 3–4 TOR0G 2A 1S0G 0A 1S
2026-03-05NYR 6–2 TOR0G 1A 1S0G 0A 2S
2025-10-16NYR 1–2 TOR0G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2025-03-20NYR 3–4 TOR0G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S
2024-10-19NYR 4–1 TOR0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2024-03-02NYR 3–4 TOR0G 1A 3S0G 1A 3S
2023-12-19NYR 5–2 TOR0G 0A 1S0G 1A 3S
2023-12-12NYR 3–7 TOR0G 1A 1S0G 1A 1S
2023-04-13NYR 2–3 TOR0G 1A 1S0G 0A 0S
2023-01-25NYR 2–3 TOR0G 0A 3S0G 0A 3S
2022-01-19NYR 6–3 TOR2G 1A 2S0G 0A 0S
2021-11-18NYR 1–2 TOR0G 0A 0S2G 0A 2S

Latest 12 of 15 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

FoxRielly

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adam Fox

4games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to DLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Morgan Rielly

3games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.5 pts
    vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Adam Fox or Morgan Rielly in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adam Fox projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Rielly's 1.61. Fox had 53 points in 55 games; Rielly had 36 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adam Fox or Morgan Rielly?
On 2025-26 numbers, Adam Fox leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Fox and Rielly done against each other?
In 15 games against each other in our data, Fox's team went 6–9. Fox had 10 points (2 goals) and Rielly had 7 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →