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Who to start · 2025-26

Adam Fox vs Thomas Harley

Adam FoxAdam FoxRangers · DefencevsThomas HarleyThomas HarleyStars · Defence

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adam Fox projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Thomas Harley's 1.92.

Fox had 53 points in 55 games; Harley had 36 in 70 games.

This week Fox has 2 games left with 1 tough matchup; Harley has 2 left. We project Harley for 4.0 ESPN points to Fox's 3.4.

Adam Fox has the better number in 24 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Fox's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.5, Scoring chances 59.9%, Corsi 55.8%.

Harley's biggest edges: Blocked shots 148, 20+ mph bursts 50, Top skating speed 22.1.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 3 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adam Fox

2.24

fantasy points per game

Thomas Harley

1.92

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Adam Fox has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromFoxHarley
Goals (+2)0.330.17
Assists (+1)0.800.43
Power-play points (+0.5)0.220.05
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.170.16
Hits (+0.1)0.040.06
Blocks (+0.5)0.671.06

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Fox vs Harley

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

FoxHarley
3Team record in 5 meetings2
4Points in those games3

Fox 2G 2A, 13 SOG · Harley 1G 2A, 13 SOG

1Shots blocked by the other0

Fox blocked 1 of Harley's shots; Harley blocked 0 of Fox's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Fox's side)

6:57 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Fox's side

Shot attempts
4–3
57.1%
Expected goals
0.2–0.0
87.6%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Adam Fox and Thomas Harley
DateScoreFoxHarley
2026-04-11NYR 0–2 DAL0G 0A 3S0G 0A 3S
2025-01-07NYR 4–5 DAL0G 1A 1S1G 2A 6S
2024-12-20NYR 3–1 DAL0G 1A 4S0G 0A 1S
2024-02-20NYR 3–1 DAL1G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2022-03-12NYR 7–4 DAL1G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

FoxHarley

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adam Fox

4games (2 left)

3.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to DLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B1.9 pts
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Thomas Harley

2games

4.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs STL1.8 pts
    vs Joel Hofer (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B2.2 pts
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to DSchedule edge −12.3 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Adam Fox or Thomas Harley in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adam Fox projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Thomas Harley's 1.92. Fox had 53 points in 55 games; Harley had 36 in 70 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adam Fox or Thomas Harley?
On 2025-26 numbers, Adam Fox leads in 24 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Fox and Harley done against each other?
In 5 games against each other in our data, Fox's team went 3–2. Fox had 4 points (2 goals) and Harley had 3 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →