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Who to start · 2025-26

Adam Larsson vs Alex Ovechkin

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex Ovechkin projects to 1.84 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Larsson's 1.64.

Larsson had 25 points in 82 games; Ovechkin had 64 in 82 games.

This week Larsson has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Ovechkin has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Larsson for 3.7 ESPN points to Ovechkin's 1.9.

Alex Ovechkin has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Larsson's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Goals above expected +2.6, Blocked shots 163.

Ovechkin's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 44.6%, Offensive-zone start % 98.1%, Power-play share 91.6%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adam Larsson

1.64

fantasy points per game

Alex Ovechkin

1.84

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Alex Ovechkin has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLarssonOvechkin
Goals (+2)0.160.73
Assists (+1)0.210.43
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.11
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.130.29
Hits (+0.1)0.160.16
Blocks (+0.5)0.990.12

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Larsson vs Ovechkin

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

LarssonOvechkin
5Team record in 14 meetings9
10Points in those games17

Larsson 4G 6A, 18 SOG · Ovechkin 7G 10A, 56 SOG

1Hits on each other1
8Shots blocked by the other1

Larsson blocked 8 of Ovechkin's shots; Ovechkin blocked 1 of Larsson's.

On the ice against each other (Larsson's side)

6:54 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Larsson's side

Shot attempts
6–7
46.2%
Expected goals
0.3–0.6
32.3%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Adam Larsson and Alex Ovechkin
DateScoreLarssonOvechkin
2026-01-27SEA 5–1 WSH0G 1A 0S1G 0A 4S
2025-10-21SEA 1–4 WSH0G 0A 0S0G 1A 1S
2025-03-09SEA 2–4 WSH0G 1A 2S1G 0A 6S
2025-01-23SEA 0–3 WSH0G 0A 2S1G 0A 2S
2024-03-14SEA 1–2 WSH0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2024-01-11SEA 4–1 WSH1G 1A 1S0G 1A 5S
2022-12-09SEA 1–4 WSH1G 0A 3S1G 1A 9S
2022-12-01SEA 3–2 WSH0G 0A 1S0G 2A 5S
2022-03-05SEA 2–5 WSH0G 1A 3S1G 2A 4S
2021-11-21SEA 5–2 WSH1G 0A 1S1G 0A 6S
2018-11-05EDM 2–4 WSH0G 1A 1S1G 0A 3S
2018-10-25EDM 4–1 WSH0G 1A 1S0G 0A 3S

Latest 12 of 14 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LarssonOvechkin

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adam Larsson

3games (2 left)

3.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CGY
    Opp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.8 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to DLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)

Alex Ovechkin

2games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to LWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B1.9 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −13.3 win%vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)

FAQ

Should I start Adam Larsson or Alex Ovechkin in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex Ovechkin projects to 1.84 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Larsson's 1.64. Larsson had 25 points in 82 games; Ovechkin had 64 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adam Larsson or Alex Ovechkin?
On 2025-26 numbers, Alex Ovechkin leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Larsson and Ovechkin done against each other?
In 14 games against each other in our data, Larsson's team went 5–9. Larsson had 10 points (4 goals) and Ovechkin had 17 (7 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →