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Who to start · 2025-26

Adam Larsson vs Anthony Cirelli

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Anthony Cirelli projects to 1.67 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Larsson's 1.64.

Larsson had 25 points in 82 games; Cirelli had 52 in 71 games.

This week Larsson has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Cirelli has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Larsson for 3.7 ESPN points to Cirelli's 1.2.

Anthony Cirelli has the better number in 29 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Larsson's biggest edges: Hardest shot 98.4, Hits 110, Transition attempts /60 0.32.

Cirelli's biggest edges: Corsi 56.1%, High-danger chances 56.6%, Fenwick 55.1%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adam Larsson

1.64

fantasy points per game

Anthony Cirelli

1.67

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Anthony Cirelli has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLarssonCirelli
Goals (+2)0.160.61
Assists (+1)0.210.38
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.03
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.03
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.130.18
Hits (+0.1)0.160.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.990.37

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Larsson vs Cirelli

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

LarssonCirelli
2Team record in 13 meetings11
3Points in those games11

Larsson 0G 3A, 13 SOG · Cirelli 4G 7A, 26 SOG

4Hits on each other0
2Shots blocked by the other0

Larsson blocked 2 of Cirelli's shots; Cirelli blocked 0 of Larsson's.

On the ice against each other (Larsson's side)

12:24 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Larsson's side

Shot attempts
8–21
27.6%
Expected goals
0.3–0.6
35.8%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Adam Larsson and Anthony Cirelli
DateScoreLarssonCirelli
2026-03-26SEA 4–3 TBL0G 1A 0S1G 0A 2S
2026-03-17SEA 2–6 TBL0G 0A 2S1G 2A 2S
2025-02-23SEA 1–4 TBL0G 0A 1S0G 1A 2S
2024-12-14SEA 1–5 TBL0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2023-12-09SEA 3–4 TBL0G 0A 1S1G 1A 4S
2023-10-30SEA 4–3 TBL0G 0A 0S0G 1A 1S
2023-01-16SEA 1–4 TBL0G 1A 1S0G 0A 0S
2022-12-13SEA 2–6 TBL0G 0A 3S0G 2A 4S
2022-03-16SEA 1–4 TBL0G 0A 0S1G 0A 1S
2021-11-26SEA 0–3 TBL0G 0A 0S0G 0A 4S
2018-12-22EDM 3–6 TBL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2018-11-06EDM 2–5 TBL0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S

Latest 12 of 13 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LarssonCirelli

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adam Larsson

3games (2 left)

3.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CGY
    Opp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.8 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to DLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)

Anthony Cirelli

2games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NYR
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.2 pts
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)

FAQ

Should I start Adam Larsson or Anthony Cirelli in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Anthony Cirelli projects to 1.67 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Larsson's 1.64. Larsson had 25 points in 82 games; Cirelli had 52 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adam Larsson or Anthony Cirelli?
On 2025-26 numbers, Anthony Cirelli leads in 29 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Larsson and Cirelli done against each other?
In 13 games against each other in our data, Larsson's team went 2–11. Larsson had 3 points (0 goals) and Cirelli had 11 (4 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →