Who to start · 2025-26
Adam Larsson vs Collin Graf
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adam Larsson projects to 1.64 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Collin Graf's 1.35.
Larsson had 25 points in 82 games; Graf had 46 in 81 games.
This week Larsson has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Graf has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Larsson for 3.7 ESPN points to Graf's 1.4.
Collin Graf has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Larsson's biggest edges: Hardest shot 98.4, Faceoffs won 0, Penalty minutes 42.
Graf's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.32, Offensive-zone start % 57.6%, On-ice PDO 1025.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Adam Larsson
1.64
fantasy points per game
Collin Graf
1.35
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Adam Larsson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Larsson | Graf |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.16 | 0.49 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.16 | 0.11 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.99 | 0.31 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Larsson vs Graf
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Larsson 1G 1A, 7 SOG · Graf 1G 1A, 4 SOG
Larsson blocked 1 of Graf's shots; Graf blocked 0 of Larsson's.
On the ice against each other (Larsson's side)
18:26 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Larsson's side
- Shot attempts
- 10–18
- 35.7%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.8
- 27.2%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Larsson | Graf |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-20 | SEA 4–2 SJS | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2025-11-15 | SEA 4–1 SJS | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-11-05 | SEA 1–6 SJS | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-04-05 | SEA 5–1 SJS | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-04-11 | SEA 1–3 SJS | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Adam Larsson
3games (2 left)
3.7proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ CGYOpp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.8 ptsOpp allows 13th-most FP to DLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.8 ptsOpp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
Collin Graf
2games (1 left)
1.4proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs FLAOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.4 ptsOpp allows 6th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Adam Larsson or Collin Graf in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adam Larsson projects to 1.64 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Collin Graf's 1.35. Larsson had 25 points in 82 games; Graf had 46 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Adam Larsson or Collin Graf?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Collin Graf leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Larsson and Graf done against each other?
- In 5 games against each other in our data, Larsson's team went 3–2. Larsson had 2 points (1 goals) and Graf had 2 (1 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →