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Who to start · 2025-26

Adam Larsson vs Morgan Frost

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adam Larsson projects to 1.64 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Frost's 1.30.

Larsson had 25 points in 82 games; Frost had 43 in 82 games.

This week Larsson has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Frost has 2 left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups. We project Larsson for 3.7 ESPN points to Frost's 2.6.

Morgan Frost has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Larsson's biggest edges: Hardest shot 98.4, Plus/minus 0, Hits 110.

Frost's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 44.5%, Offensive-zone start % 67.6%, Power-play share 62.4%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adam Larsson

1.64

fantasy points per game

Morgan Frost

1.30

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Adam Larsson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLarssonFrost
Goals (+2)0.160.50
Assists (+1)0.210.24
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.130.17
Hits (+0.1)0.160.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.990.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Larsson vs Frost

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

LarssonFrost
8Team record in 13 meetings5
5Points in those games6

Larsson 0G 5A, 8 SOG · Frost 2G 4A, 27 SOG

4Hits on each other3
1Shots blocked by the other0

Larsson blocked 1 of Frost's shots; Frost blocked 0 of Larsson's.

On the ice against each other (Larsson's side)

14:37 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Larsson's side

Shot attempts
8–17
32.0%
Expected goals
0.9–0.3
72.6%
Goals
2–1

Games against each other

Games between Adam Larsson and Morgan Frost
DateScoreLarssonFrost
2026-10-01SEA 6–1 CGY0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2026-04-11SEA 4–1 CGY0G 0A 0S0G 0A 0S
2026-01-05SEA 5–1 CGY0G 1A 1S0G 0A 2S
2025-12-18SEA 2–4 CGY0G 0A 0S0G 1A 4S
2025-03-25SEA 3–4 CGY0G 0A 1S0G 1A 3S
2025-02-08SEA 3–2 CGY0G 1A 0S1G 0A 2S
2025-02-02SEA 2–3 CGY0G 0A 0S1G 0A 5S
2024-10-17SEA 6–4 PHI0G 1A 0S0G 0A 3S
2024-02-10SEA 2–3 PHI0G 1A 2S0G 1A 2S
2023-12-29SEA 2–1 PHI0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2023-02-16SEA 6–2 PHI0G 0A 0S0G 0A 0S
2023-02-12SEA 4–3 PHI0G 0A 0S0G 1A 1S

Latest 12 of 13 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LarssonFrost

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adam Larsson

3games (2 left)

3.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CGY
    Opp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.8 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to DLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)

Morgan Frost

3games (2 left)

2.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs SEA
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ VAN1.6 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CSchedule edge +3.4 win%Likely vs Leevi Meriläinen (.860)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ SEAB2B1.0 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Adam Larsson or Morgan Frost in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adam Larsson projects to 1.64 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Frost's 1.30. Larsson had 25 points in 82 games; Frost had 43 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adam Larsson or Morgan Frost?
On 2025-26 numbers, Morgan Frost leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Larsson and Frost done against each other?
In 13 games against each other in our data, Larsson's team went 8–5. Larsson had 5 points (0 goals) and Frost had 6 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →