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Who to start · 2025-26

Adam Larsson vs Ryan O'Reilly

Adam LarssonAdam LarssonKraken · DefencevsRyan O'ReillyRyan O'ReillyPredators · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan O'Reilly projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Larsson's 1.64.

Larsson had 25 points in 82 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games.

This week Larsson has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; O'Reilly has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Larsson for 3.7 ESPN points to O'Reilly's 2.0.

Ryan O'Reilly has the better number in 26 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Larsson's biggest edges: Hits 110, Hardest shot 98.4, Penalty minutes 42.

O'Reilly's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 44.6%, High-danger chances 53.8%, Corsi 52.6%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adam Larsson

1.64

fantasy points per game

Ryan O'Reilly

1.90

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Ryan O'Reilly has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLarssonO'Reilly
Goals (+2)0.160.58
Assists (+1)0.210.57
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.130.20
Hits (+0.1)0.160.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.990.38

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Larsson vs O'Reilly

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

LarssonO'Reilly
7Team record in 22 meetings15
6Points in those games11

Larsson 3G 3A, 32 SOG · O'Reilly 4G 7A, 48 SOG

0Hits on each other2

On the ice against each other (Larsson's side)

20:27 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Larsson's side

Shot attempts
20–19
51.3%
Expected goals
0.6–0.8
43.2%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Adam Larsson and Ryan O'Reilly
DateScoreLarssonO'Reilly
2026-03-19SEA 1–3 NSH0G 0A 1S1G 0A 2S
2026-03-10SEA 2–4 NSH0G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2026-01-01SEA 4–1 NSH0G 0A 2S0G 1A 3S
2025-03-06SEA 3–5 NSH1G 0A 1S0G 1A 3S
2024-11-20SEA 3–0 NSH0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2024-10-15SEA 7–3 NSH1G 1A 3S0G 1A 2S
2024-03-16SEA 1–4 NSH0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2023-11-02SEA 4–2 NSH0G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2023-10-12SEA 0–3 NSH0G 0A 0S0G 0A 3S
2023-02-26SEA 1–5 TOR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2022-12-20SEA 5–2 STL0G 1A 1S0G 0A 4S
2022-10-19SEA 3–4 STL1G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S

Latest 12 of 22 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LarssonO'Reilly

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adam Larsson

3games (2 left)

3.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CGY
    Opp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.8 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to DLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)

Ryan O'Reilly

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs MIN
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL2.0 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to CSchedule edge +13.0 win%Likely vs Casey DeSmith (.907)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Adam Larsson or Ryan O'Reilly in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan O'Reilly projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Larsson's 1.64. Larsson had 25 points in 82 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adam Larsson or Ryan O'Reilly?
On 2025-26 numbers, Ryan O'Reilly leads in 26 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Larsson and O'Reilly done against each other?
In 22 games against each other in our data, Larsson's team went 7–15. Larsson had 6 points (3 goals) and O'Reilly had 11 (4 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →