Who to start · 2025-26
Adam Larsson vs Steven Stamkos
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Steven Stamkos projects to 2.00 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Larsson's 1.64.
Larsson had 25 points in 82 games; Stamkos had 66 in 82 games.
This week Larsson has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Stamkos has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Larsson for 3.7 ESPN points to Stamkos's 2.0.
Steven Stamkos has the better number in 26 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Larsson's biggest edges: Plus/minus 0, Blocked shots 163, Faceoffs won 0.
Stamkos's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 45.6%, Forecheck xG /60 0.43, High-danger chances 53.8%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Adam Larsson
1.64
fantasy points per game
Steven Stamkos
2.00
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Steven Stamkos has the edge.
| Points per game from | Larsson | Stamkos |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.16 | 0.96 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.21 | 0.34 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.13 | 0.24 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.16 | 0.11 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.99 | 0.21 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Larsson vs Stamkos
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Larsson 2G 3A, 17 SOG · Stamkos 6G 11A, 37 SOG
Larsson blocked 4 of Stamkos's shots; Stamkos blocked 1 of Larsson's.
On the ice against each other (Larsson's side)
19:40 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Larsson's side
- Shot attempts
- 15–23
- 39.5%
- Expected goals
- 0.5–0.8
- 39.1%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Larsson | Stamkos |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-19 | SEA 1–3 NSH | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2026-03-10 | SEA 2–4 NSH | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2026-01-01 | SEA 4–1 NSH | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-03-06 | SEA 3–5 NSH | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2024-11-20 | SEA 3–0 NSH | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-10-15 | SEA 7–3 NSH | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-10-30 | SEA 4–3 TBL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-01-16 | SEA 1–4 TBL | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2022-12-13 | SEA 2–6 TBL | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2022-03-16 | SEA 1–4 TBL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 3A 2S |
| 2021-11-26 | SEA 0–3 TBL | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2018-12-22 | EDM 3–6 TBL | 0G 0A 1S | 2G 0A 3S |
Latest 12 of 14 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Adam Larsson
3games (2 left)
3.7proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ CGYOpp allows the most FP to D
- Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.8 ptsOpp allows 13th-most FP to D
- Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.8 ptsOpp allows the most FP to D
Steven Stamkos
2games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs MINOpp allows 11th-fewest FP to C
- Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL2.0 ptsOpp allows 3rd-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Adam Larsson or Steven Stamkos in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Steven Stamkos projects to 2.00 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Larsson's 1.64. Larsson had 25 points in 82 games; Stamkos had 66 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Adam Larsson or Steven Stamkos?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Steven Stamkos leads in 26 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Larsson and Stamkos done against each other?
- In 14 games against each other in our data, Larsson's team went 4–10. Larsson had 5 points (2 goals) and Stamkos had 17 (6 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →