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Who to start · 2025-26

Adrian Kempe vs Brady Tkachuk

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brady Tkachuk projects to 2.16 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adrian Kempe's 2.01.

Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Tkachuk had 59 in 60 games.

This week Kempe has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Tkachuk has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Tkachuk for 2.3 ESPN points to Kempe's 1.6.

Brady Tkachuk has the better number in 19 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Kempe's biggest edges: Goals above expected +4.5, On-ice PDO 1027, 20+ mph bursts 224.

Tkachuk's biggest edges: Draw Equity /100 +0.101, Faceoff win % 57.6%, Forecheck xG /60 0.42.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adrian Kempe

2.01

fantasy points per game

Brady Tkachuk

2.16

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Brady Tkachuk has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKempeTkachuk
Goals (+2)0.830.65
Assists (+1)0.430.54
Power-play points (+0.5)0.070.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.35
Hits (+0.1)0.160.29
Blocks (+0.5)0.230.17

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Kempe vs Tkachuk

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2024-25: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KempeTkachuk
6Team record in 11 meetings5
7Points in those games11

Kempe 2G 5A, 27 SOG · Tkachuk 1G 10A, 33 SOG

1Faceoffs against each other0

Kempe's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 1–0 · Kempe's defensive zone 0–0 (2019-20)

2Hits on each other2
1Shots blocked by the other0

Kempe blocked 1 of Tkachuk's shots; Tkachuk blocked 0 of Kempe's.

Games against each other

Games between Adrian Kempe and Brady Tkachuk
DateScoreKempeTkachuk
2024-11-30LAK 5–2 OTT1G 0A 3S0G 1A 3S
2024-10-14LAK 7–8 OTT1G 1A 3S0G 3A 5S
2023-11-02LAK 3–2 OTT0G 2A 7S0G 0A 3S
2022-12-06LAK 5–2 OTT0G 0A 2S0G 0A 4S
2022-11-27LAK 2–3 OTT0G 0A 2S1G 1A 7S
2021-11-27LAK 4–2 OTT0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2021-11-11LAK 2–0 OTT0G 1A 2S0G 0A 5S
2020-03-11LAK 3–2 OTT0G 1A 1S0G 1A 1S
2019-11-07LAK 2–3 OTT0G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S
2019-01-10LAK 1–4 OTT0G 0A 0S0G 1A 1S
2018-10-13LAK 1–5 OTT0G 0A 5S0G 2A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KempeTkachuk

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adrian Kempe

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ COL
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to RWLikely vs Mackenzie Blackwood (.903)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ SJS1.6 pts
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −3.2 win%vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)

Brady Tkachuk

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ CAR
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to LWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ SJS
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA2.3 pts
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to LWLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)

FAQ

Should I start Adrian Kempe or Brady Tkachuk in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brady Tkachuk projects to 2.16 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adrian Kempe's 2.01. Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Tkachuk had 59 in 60 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adrian Kempe or Brady Tkachuk?
On 2025-26 numbers, Brady Tkachuk leads in 19 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Kempe and Tkachuk done against each other?
In 11 games against each other in our data, Kempe's team went 6–5. Kempe had 7 points (2 goals) and Tkachuk had 11 (1 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Kempe or Tkachuk?
Against each other, Kempe has won 1 and Tkachuk 0 of their 1 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →