Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Adrian Kempe vs Brent Burns

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adrian Kempe projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Brent Burns's 1.38.

Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Burns had 35 in 82 games.

This week Kempe has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Burns has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Kempe for 1.6 ESPN points to Burns's 0.9.

Adrian Kempe has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Kempe's biggest edges: Hits 127, Offensive-zone start % 66.6%, 20+ mph bursts 224.

Burns's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.38, High-danger chances 56.1%, Faceoffs won 0.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adrian Kempe

2.01

fantasy points per game

Brent Burns

1.38

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Adrian Kempe has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKempeBurns
Goals (+2)0.830.27
Assists (+1)0.430.33
Power-play points (+0.5)0.070.01
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.20
Hits (+0.1)0.160.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.230.55

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Kempe vs Burns

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KempeBurns
10Team record in 36 meetings26
18Points in those games22

Kempe 7G 11A, 94 SOG · Burns 3G 19A, 87 SOG

7Hits on each other2
3Shots blocked by the other4

Kempe blocked 3 of Burns's shots; Burns blocked 4 of Kempe's.

1Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Kempe's side)

27:50 at 5-on-5 over 7 games, 2025-26, from Kempe's side

Shot attempts
18–32
36.0%
Expected goals
0.3–1.5
17.5%
Goals
1–3

Games against each other

Games between Adrian Kempe and Brent Burns
DateScoreKempeBurns
2026-09-30LAK 4–8 COL0G 0A 3S0G 1A 0S
2026-04-26 · POLAK 1–5 COL0G 1A 0S0G 0A 4S
2026-04-23 · POLAK 2–4 COL1G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2026-04-21 · POLAK 1–2 COL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2026-04-19 · POLAK 1–2 COL0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2026-03-02LAK 2–4 COL0G 1A 3S0G 1A 3S
2025-12-29LAK 2–5 COL0G 1A 5S0G 0A 2S
2025-10-07LAK 1–4 COL0G 1A 2S0G 0A 3S
2025-03-22LAK 7–2 CAR1G 0A 3S0G 0A 3S
2025-02-01LAK 4–2 CAR0G 0A 4S0G 1A 4S
2024-01-15LAK 5–2 CAR0G 0A 2S0G 1A 9S
2023-10-14LAK 5–6 CAR0G 1A 3S1G 0A 2S

Latest 12 of 36 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KempeBurns

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adrian Kempe

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ COL
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to RWLikely vs Mackenzie Blackwood (.903)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ SJS1.6 pts
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −3.2 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)

Brent Burns

2games (1 left)

0.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to DLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL0.9 pts
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)

FAQ

Should I start Adrian Kempe or Brent Burns in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adrian Kempe projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Brent Burns's 1.38. Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Burns had 35 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adrian Kempe or Brent Burns?
On 2025-26 numbers, Adrian Kempe leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Kempe and Burns done against each other?
In 36 games against each other in our data, Kempe's team went 10–26. Kempe had 18 points (7 goals) and Burns had 22 (3 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →