Who to start · 2025-26
Adrian Kempe vs Brock Nelson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brock Nelson projects to 2.23 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adrian Kempe's 2.01.
Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Nelson had 65 in 81 games.
This week Kempe has 1 game left; Nelson has 1 left. We project Kempe for 2.1 ESPN points to Nelson's 2.0.
Brock Nelson has the better number in 19 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Kempe's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.93, Luck Meter +49, Hits 127.
Nelson's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.42, High-danger chances 57.1%, Faceoff win % 50.4%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 2 A, 3 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Adrian Kempe
2.01
fantasy points per game
Brock Nelson
2.23
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Brock Nelson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Kempe | Nelson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.83 | 0.89 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.43 | 0.50 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.07 | 0.20 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.16 | 0.04 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.23 | 0.38 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Kempe vs Nelson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Kempe 5G 8A, 59 SOG · Nelson 6G 10A, 41 SOG
Kempe's offensive zone 1–3 · neutral 2–0 · Kempe's defensive zone 0–0 (2018-19 to 2025-26)
Kempe blocked 1 of Nelson's shots; Nelson blocked 1 of Kempe's.
On the ice against each other (Kempe's side)
43:23 at 5-on-5 over 8 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Kempe's side
- Shot attempts
- 49–43
- 53.3%
- Expected goals
- 1.1–1.3
- 46.6%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Kempe | Nelson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | LAK 4–8 COL | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 2A 1S |
| 2026-04-26 · PO | LAK 1–5 COL | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2026-04-23 · PO | LAK 2–4 COL | 1G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2026-04-21 · PO | LAK 1–2 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2026-04-19 · PO | LAK 1–2 COL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2026-03-02 | LAK 2–4 COL | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-12-29 | LAK 2–5 COL | 0G 1A 5S | 1G 1A 1S |
| 2025-10-07 | LAK 1–4 COL | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-04-12 | LAK 5–4 COL | 0G 1A 3S | 2G 0A 2S |
| 2025-03-27 | LAK 0–4 COL | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-12-10 | LAK 3–1 NYI | 1G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2024-03-11 | LAK 3–0 NYI | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 5S |
Latest 12 of 23 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Adrian Kempe
2games (1 left)
2.1proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Wed, Sep 30 @ COL
- Sat, Oct 3 @ SJS2.1 pts
Brock Nelson
2games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL2.0 ptsSchedule edge +9.3 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Adrian Kempe or Brock Nelson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brock Nelson projects to 2.23 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adrian Kempe's 2.01. Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Nelson had 65 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Adrian Kempe or Brock Nelson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Brock Nelson leads in 19 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Kempe and Nelson done against each other?
- In 23 games against each other in our data, Kempe's team went 9–14. Kempe had 13 points (5 goals) and Nelson had 16 (6 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Kempe or Nelson?
- Against each other, Kempe has won 3 and Nelson 3 of their 6 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →