Who to start · 2025-26
Adrian Kempe vs Christian Dvorak
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adrian Kempe projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Christian Dvorak's 1.42.
Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Dvorak had 51 in 80 games.
This week Kempe has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Dvorak has 1 left. We project Kempe for 1.6 ESPN points to Dvorak's 1.1.
Adrian Kempe has the better number in 26 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Kempe's biggest edges: Goals above expected +4.5, Hardest shot 95.3, Corsi 52.1%.
Dvorak's biggest edges: Draw Equity /100 +0.056, Faceoff win % 54.5%, Forecheck xG /60 0.33.
Head to head on the dot, Dvorak leads Kempe 28–20.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Adrian Kempe
2.01
fantasy points per game
Christian Dvorak
1.42
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Adrian Kempe has the edge.
| Points per game from | Kempe | Dvorak |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.83 | 0.40 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.43 | 0.36 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.07 | 0.03 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.28 | 0.18 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.16 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.23 | 0.38 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Kempe vs Dvorak
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Kempe 8G 12A, 51 SOG · Dvorak 6G 6A, 42 SOG
Kempe's offensive zone 11–13 · neutral 6–8 · Kempe's defensive zone 3–7 (2017-18 to 2025-26)
Kempe blocked 0 of Dvorak's shots; Dvorak blocked 1 of Kempe's.
On the ice against each other (Kempe's side)
11:52 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Kempe's side
- Shot attempts
- 16–7
- 69.6%
- Expected goals
- 0.4–0.1
- 74.6%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Kempe | Dvorak |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-19 | LAK 3–4 PHI | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2026-01-31 | LAK 3–2 PHI | 2G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-02-05 | LAK 6–3 MTL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-10-17 | LAK 4–1 MTL | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-12-07 | LAK 4–0 MTL | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-11-25 | LAK 4–0 MTL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-03-02 | LAK 3–2 MTL | 0G 0A 7S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2022-12-10 | LAK 4–2 MTL | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2021-11-09 | LAK 3–2 MTL | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2021-10-30 | LAK 5–2 MTL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2021-05-05 | LAK 4–2 ARI | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2021-05-03 | LAK 3–2 ARI | 0G 1A 0S | 1G 0A 1S |
Latest 12 of 27 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Adrian Kempe
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 @ COLOpp allows 10th-most FP to RWLikely vs Mackenzie Blackwood (.903)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ SJS1.6 ptsOpp allows 7th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −3.2 win%vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
Christian Dvorak
3games (1 left)
1.1proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs PITOpp allows the fewest FP to CLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2BOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.1 ptsOpp allows 13th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.0 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Adrian Kempe or Christian Dvorak in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adrian Kempe projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Christian Dvorak's 1.42. Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Dvorak had 51 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Adrian Kempe or Christian Dvorak?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Adrian Kempe leads in 26 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Kempe and Dvorak done against each other?
- In 27 games against each other in our data, Kempe's team went 18–9. Kempe had 20 points (8 goals) and Dvorak had 12 (6 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Kempe or Dvorak?
- Against each other, Kempe has won 20 and Dvorak 28 of their 48 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →