Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Adrian Kempe vs Connor Bedard

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor Bedard projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adrian Kempe's 2.01.

Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Bedard had 75 in 69 games.

This week Kempe has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Bedard has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Bedard for 2.4 ESPN points to Kempe's 1.6.

Adrian Kempe has the better number in 21 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.

Kempe's biggest edges: Plus/minus +14, Corsi 52.1%, Fenwick 52.0%.

Bedard's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.25, Draw Equity /100 −0.024, Faceoff win % 47.1%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adrian Kempe

2.11

fantasy points per game

Connor Bedard

2.24

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Connor Bedard has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKempeBedard
Goals (+2)0.890.87
Assists (+1)0.460.65
Power-play points (+0.5)0.070.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.33
Hits (+0.1)0.160.04
Blocks (+0.5)0.240.20

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Kempe vs Bedard

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KempeBedard
6Team record in 9 meetings3
10Points in those games4

Kempe 1G 9A, 22 SOG · Bedard 3G 1A, 20 SOG

0Faceoffs against each other1

Kempe's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–1 · Kempe's defensive zone 0–0 (2025-26)

0Shots blocked by the other1

Kempe blocked 0 of Bedard's shots; Bedard blocked 1 of Kempe's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Kempe's side)

10:18 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Kempe's side

Shot attempts
13–9
59.1%
Expected goals
0.4–0.4
47.4%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Adrian Kempe and Connor Bedard
DateScoreKempeBedard
2025-12-06LAK 6–0 CHI0G 1A 2S0G 0A 2S
2025-12-04LAK 1–2 CHI0G 0A 1S1G 0A 4S
2025-10-26LAK 3–1 CHI0G 1A 1S1G 0A 3S
2025-03-20LAK 3–1 CHI0G 0A 3S1G 0A 1S
2025-03-03LAK 1–5 CHI0G 1A 3S0G 0A 2S
2024-11-02LAK 3–4 CHI0G 0A 6S0G 0A 3S
2024-04-18LAK 5–4 CHI1G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S
2024-03-19LAK 6–2 CHI0G 3A 3S0G 1A 1S
2024-03-15LAK 5–0 CHI0G 2A 2S0G 0A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KempeBedard

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adrian Kempe

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ COL
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to RWLikely vs Mackenzie Blackwood (.903)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ SJS1.6 pts
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −3.2 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)

Connor Bedard

3games (1 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ VGK
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ UTA
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ BUF2.4 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to CSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)

FAQ

Should I start Adrian Kempe or Connor Bedard in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor Bedard projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adrian Kempe's 2.01. Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Bedard had 75 in 69 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adrian Kempe or Connor Bedard?
On 2025-26 numbers, Adrian Kempe leads in 21 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Kempe and Bedard done against each other?
In 9 games against each other in our data, Kempe's team went 6–3. Kempe had 10 points (1 goals) and Bedard had 4 (3 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Kempe or Bedard?
Against each other, Kempe has won 0 and Bedard 1 of their 1 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →