Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Adrian Kempe vs Connor McDavid

Adrian KempeAdrian KempeKings · Right wingvsConnor McDavidConnor McDavidOilers · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adrian Kempe's 2.01.

Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; McDavid had 138 in 82 games.

This week Kempe has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; McDavid has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project McDavid for 2.3 ESPN points to Kempe's 1.6.

Connor McDavid has the better number in 26 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Kempe's biggest edges: Hardest shot 95.3, Hits 127, On-ice PDO 1027.

McDavid's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +1.05, Forecheck xG /60 0.36, High-danger chances 57.5%.

Head to head on the dot, McDavid leads Kempe 15–11.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 6 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adrian Kempe

2.01

fantasy points per game

Connor McDavid

3.45

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Connor McDavid has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKempeMcDavid
Goals (+2)0.831.15
Assists (+1)0.431.32
Power-play points (+0.5)0.070.35
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.35
Hits (+0.1)0.160.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.230.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Kempe vs McDavid

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KempeMcDavid
20Team record in 53 meetings33
44Points in those games87

Kempe 22G 22A, 192 SOG · McDavid 27G 60A, 186 SOG

11Faceoffs against each other15

Kempe's offensive zone 4–4 · neutral 5–10 · Kempe's defensive zone 2–1 (2017-18 to 2025-26)

6Hits on each other0
0Shots blocked by the other3

Kempe blocked 0 of McDavid's shots; McDavid blocked 3 of Kempe's.

1Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Kempe's side)

10:39 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Kempe's side

Shot attempts
16–13
55.2%
Expected goals
0.8–0.6
58.7%
Goals
2–0

Games against each other

Games between Adrian Kempe and Connor McDavid
DateScoreKempeMcDavid
2026-04-11LAK 1–0 EDM0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2026-02-26LAK 1–8 EDM0G 0A 1S1G 1A 3S
2026-01-10LAK 4–3 EDM0G 1A 0S1G 0A 5S
2025-05-01 · POLAK 4–6 EDM0G 0A 1S0G 1A 5S
2025-04-29 · POLAK 1–3 EDM0G 1A 2S0G 1A 2S
2025-04-27 · POLAK 3–4 EDM0G 0A 4S0G 2A 7S
2025-04-25 · POLAK 4–7 EDM1G 1A 3S1G 2A 4S
2025-04-23 · POLAK 6–2 EDM2G 2A 8S0G 0A 2S
2025-04-21 · POLAK 6–5 EDM1G 2A 3S1G 3A 3S
2025-01-13LAK 0–1 EDM0G 0A 6S1G 0A 5S
2024-12-28LAK 4–3 EDM0G 1A 4S0G 1A 0S
2024-05-01 · POLAK 3–4 EDM1G 0A 3S0G 2A 4S

Latest 12 of 53 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KempeMcDavid

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adrian Kempe

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ COL
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to RWLikely vs Mackenzie Blackwood (.903)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ SJS1.6 pts
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −3.2 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)

Connor McDavid

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA2.3 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Adrian Kempe or Connor McDavid in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adrian Kempe's 2.01. Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; McDavid had 138 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adrian Kempe or Connor McDavid?
On 2025-26 numbers, Connor McDavid leads in 26 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Kempe and McDavid done against each other?
In 53 games against each other in our data, Kempe's team went 20–33. Kempe had 44 points (22 goals) and McDavid had 87 (27 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Kempe or McDavid?
Against each other, Kempe has won 11 and McDavid 15 of their 26 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →