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Who to start · 2025-26

Adrian Kempe vs Darnell Nurse

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adrian Kempe projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Darnell Nurse's 1.83.

Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Nurse had 24 in 82 games.

This week Kempe has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Nurse has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Nurse for 2.1 ESPN points to Kempe's 1.6.

Adrian Kempe has the better number in 26 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Kempe's biggest edges: Plus/minus +14, On-ice PDO 1027, Luck Meter +71.

Nurse's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, High-danger chances 50.7%, Blocked shots 167.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adrian Kempe

2.01

fantasy points per game

Darnell Nurse

1.83

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Adrian Kempe has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKempeNurse
Goals (+2)0.830.16
Assists (+1)0.430.19
Power-play points (+0.5)0.070.00
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.19
Hits (+0.1)0.160.17
Blocks (+0.5)0.231.11

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Kempe vs Nurse

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KempeNurse
22Team record in 54 meetings32
47Points in those games17

Kempe 23G 24A, 198 SOG · Nurse 5G 12A, 106 SOG

15Hits on each other13
6Shots blocked by the other19

Kempe blocked 6 of Nurse's shots; Nurse blocked 19 of Kempe's.

2Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Kempe's side)

23:33 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Kempe's side

Shot attempts
36–15
70.6%
Expected goals
0.9–0.4
70.4%
Goals
0–2

Games against each other

Games between Adrian Kempe and Darnell Nurse
DateScoreKempeNurse
2026-04-11LAK 1–0 EDM0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2026-02-26LAK 1–8 EDM0G 0A 1S0G 1A 2S
2026-01-10LAK 4–3 EDM0G 1A 0S0G 0A 2S
2025-05-01 · POLAK 4–6 EDM0G 0A 1S1G 1A 4S
2025-04-29 · POLAK 1–3 EDM0G 1A 2S0G 0A 2S
2025-04-27 · POLAK 3–4 EDM0G 0A 4S0G 0A 3S
2025-04-25 · POLAK 4–7 EDM1G 1A 3S0G 0A 1S
2025-04-23 · POLAK 6–2 EDM2G 2A 8S0G 0A 3S
2025-04-21 · POLAK 6–5 EDM1G 2A 3S0G 0A 3S
2025-04-14LAK 5–0 EDM1G 2A 6S0G 0A 2S
2025-04-05LAK 3–0 EDM0G 1A 3S0G 0A 0S
2025-01-13LAK 0–1 EDM0G 0A 6S0G 1A 3S

Latest 12 of 54 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KempeNurse

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adrian Kempe

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ COL
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to RWLikely vs Mackenzie Blackwood (.903)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ SJS1.6 pts
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −3.2 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)

Darnell Nurse

2games (1 left)

2.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to DLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK2.1 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to DSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)

FAQ

Should I start Adrian Kempe or Darnell Nurse in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adrian Kempe projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Darnell Nurse's 1.83. Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Nurse had 24 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adrian Kempe or Darnell Nurse?
On 2025-26 numbers, Adrian Kempe leads in 26 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Kempe and Nurse done against each other?
In 54 games against each other in our data, Kempe's team went 22–32. Kempe had 47 points (23 goals) and Nurse had 17 (5 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →