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Who to start · 2025-26

Adrian Kempe vs Kirill Marchenko

Adrian KempeAdrian KempeKings · Right wingvsKirill MarchenkoKirill MarchenkoMaple Leafs · Right wing

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adrian Kempe projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Kirill Marchenko's 1.92.

Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Marchenko had 67 in 76 games.

This week Kempe has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Marchenko has 1 left. We project Marchenko for 1.8 ESPN points to Kempe's 1.6.

Adrian Kempe has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Kempe's biggest edges: Goals above expected +4.5, Faceoffs won 54, Hits 127.

Marchenko's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.08, Ascension score 58, Scoring chances 53.0%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 7 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adrian Kempe

2.01

fantasy points per game

Kirill Marchenko

1.92

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Adrian Kempe has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKempeMarchenko
Goals (+2)0.830.63
Assists (+1)0.430.52
Power-play points (+0.5)0.070.13
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.29
Hits (+0.1)0.160.11
Blocks (+0.5)0.230.23

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Kempe vs Marchenko

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KempeMarchenko
5Team record in 8 meetings3
7Points in those games6

Kempe 3G 4A, 22 SOG · Marchenko 6G 0A, 19 SOG

On the ice against each other (Kempe's side)

1:20 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Kempe's side

Shot attempts
0–1
0.0%
Expected goals
0.0–0.1
0.0%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Adrian Kempe and Kirill Marchenko
DateScoreKempeMarchenko
2026-03-09LAK 5–4 CBJ2G 0A 5S1G 0A 6S
2025-12-22LAK 1–3 CBJ0G 0A 1S1G 0A 2S
2025-01-25LAK 2–3 CBJ0G 0A 5S1G 0A 2S
2024-11-09LAK 5–2 CBJ0G 2A 1S0G 0A 2S
2024-02-20LAK 5–1 CBJ0G 1A 2S0G 0A 0S
2023-12-05LAK 4–3 CBJ0G 1A 2S1G 0A 2S
2023-03-16LAK 4–1 CBJ0G 0A 3S1G 0A 4S
2022-12-11LAK 5–6 CBJ1G 0A 3S1G 0A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KempeMarchenko

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adrian Kempe

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ COL
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to RWLikely vs Mackenzie Blackwood (.903)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ SJS1.6 pts
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −3.2 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)

Kirill Marchenko

3games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to RWLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.8 pts
    vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Adrian Kempe or Kirill Marchenko in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adrian Kempe projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Kirill Marchenko's 1.92. Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Marchenko had 67 in 76 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adrian Kempe or Kirill Marchenko?
On 2025-26 numbers, Adrian Kempe leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Kempe and Marchenko done against each other?
In 8 games against each other in our data, Kempe's team went 5–3. Kempe had 7 points (3 goals) and Marchenko had 6 (6 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →