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Who to start · 2025-26

Adrian Kempe vs Kyle Connor

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kyle Connor projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adrian Kempe's 2.01.

Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Connor had 92 in 82 games.

This week Kempe has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Connor has 1 left. We project Connor for 2.4 ESPN points to Kempe's 1.6.

Kyle Connor has the better number in 17 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Kempe's biggest edges: Top skating speed 23.7, Penalty minutes 58, Hits 127.

Connor's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.31, Ascension score 58, Scoring chances 52.1%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adrian Kempe

2.01

fantasy points per game

Kyle Connor

2.43

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Kyle Connor has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKempeConnor
Goals (+2)0.831.02
Assists (+1)0.430.67
Power-play points (+0.5)0.070.14
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.37
Hits (+0.1)0.160.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.230.17

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Kempe vs Connor

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KempeConnor
11Team record in 22 meetings11
15Points in those games21

Kempe 6G 9A, 59 SOG · Connor 7G 14A, 64 SOG

2Hits on each other0

On the ice against each other (Kempe's side)

9:45 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Kempe's side

Shot attempts
9–10
47.4%
Expected goals
0.5–0.3
58.9%
Goals
2–0

Games against each other

Games between Adrian Kempe and Kyle Connor
DateScoreKempeConnor
2026-01-09LAK 1–5 WPG0G 0A 2S0G 1A 0S
2025-11-04LAK 3–0 WPG1G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2025-10-11LAK 2–3 WPG1G 1A 6S0G 1A 4S
2025-04-01LAK 4–1 WPG1G 1A 1S0G 0A 2S
2025-01-10LAK 2–1 WPG1G 1A 2S0G 1A 3S
2024-11-27LAK 4–1 WPG1G 1A 5S0G 1A 0S
2024-04-01LAK 3–4 WPG0G 1A 2S0G 3A 2S
2023-10-17LAK 5–1 WPG0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2023-03-25LAK 4–1 WPG0G 1A 5S0G 1A 2S
2023-02-28LAK 6–5 WPG0G 0A 2S1G 0A 3S
2022-10-27LAK 4–6 WPG0G 0A 7S0G 1A 3S
2021-11-13LAK 2–3 WPG0G 0A 5S1G 0A 5S

Latest 12 of 22 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KempeConnor

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adrian Kempe

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ COL
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to RWLikely vs Mackenzie Blackwood (.903)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ SJS1.6 pts
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −3.2 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)

Kyle Connor

2games (1 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ DET2.4 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to LWLikely vs John Gibson (.901)

FAQ

Should I start Adrian Kempe or Kyle Connor in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kyle Connor projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adrian Kempe's 2.01. Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Connor had 92 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adrian Kempe or Kyle Connor?
On 2025-26 numbers, Kyle Connor leads in 17 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Kempe and Connor done against each other?
In 22 games against each other in our data, Kempe's team went 11–11. Kempe had 15 points (6 goals) and Connor had 21 (7 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →