Who to start · 2025-26
Adrian Kempe vs Leo Carlsson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Leo Carlsson projects to 2.12 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adrian Kempe's 2.01.
Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Carlsson had 67 in 70 games.
This week Kempe has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Carlsson has 1 left. We project Kempe for 1.6 ESPN points to Carlsson's 1.6.
Adrian Kempe has the better number in 19 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Kempe's biggest edges: Hits 127, On-ice PDO 1027, Hardest shot 95.3.
Carlsson's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.29, Expected goals 55.4%, Sequence xG 55.3%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Adrian Kempe
2.01
fantasy points per game
Leo Carlsson
2.12
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Leo Carlsson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Kempe | Carlsson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.83 | 0.90 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.43 | 0.57 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.02 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.16 | 0.02 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Kempe vs Carlsson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Kempe 2G 9A, 21 SOG · Carlsson 1G 5A, 16 SOG
On the ice against each other (Kempe's side)
6:16 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Kempe's side
- Shot attempts
- 6–4
- 60.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.3
- 49.5%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Kempe | Carlsson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-27 | LAK 6–1 ANA | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2025-11-28 | LAK 4–5 ANA | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 2A 2S |
| 2025-04-10 | LAK 6–1 ANA | 0G 3A 1S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2025-02-08 | LAK 1–2 ANA | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-10-20 | LAK 4–1 ANA | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-04-13 | LAK 3–1 ANA | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-04-09 | LAK 1–3 ANA | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-02-24 | LAK 3–2 ANA | 0G 2A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-11-24 | LAK 5–2 ANA | 0G 2A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Adrian Kempe
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 @ COLOpp allows 8th-most FP to RWLikely vs Mackenzie Blackwood (.903)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ SJS1.6 ptsOpp allows 7th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −3.2 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
Leo Carlsson
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ VGKOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs FLA1.6 ptsOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Adrian Kempe or Leo Carlsson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Leo Carlsson projects to 2.12 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adrian Kempe's 2.01. Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Carlsson had 67 in 70 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Adrian Kempe or Leo Carlsson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Adrian Kempe leads in 19 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Kempe and Carlsson done against each other?
- In 9 games against each other in our data, Kempe's team went 6–3. Kempe had 11 points (2 goals) and Carlsson had 6 (1 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →