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Who to start · 2025-26

Adrian Kempe vs Noah Dobson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Noah Dobson projects to 2.17 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adrian Kempe's 2.01.

Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Dobson had 47 in 80 games.

This week Kempe has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Dobson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Kempe for 1.6 ESPN points to Dobson's 1.6.

Adrian Kempe has the better number in 28 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Kempe's biggest edges: Corsi 52.1%, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.023, Hardest shot 95.3.

Dobson's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.38, Net penalties drawn /60 −0.03, Faceoffs won 0.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adrian Kempe

2.01

fantasy points per game

Noah Dobson

2.17

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Noah Dobson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKempeDobson
Goals (+2)0.830.28
Assists (+1)0.430.41
Power-play points (+0.5)0.070.04
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.19
Hits (+0.1)0.160.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.231.16

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Kempe vs Dobson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KempeDobson
9Team record in 12 meetings3
9Points in those games4

Kempe 4G 5A, 36 SOG · Dobson 1G 3A, 25 SOG

4Hits on each other0
0Shots blocked by the other4

Kempe blocked 0 of Dobson's shots; Dobson blocked 4 of Kempe's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Kempe's side)

11:55 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Kempe's side

Shot attempts
11–12
47.8%
Expected goals
0.4–0.5
45.3%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Adrian Kempe and Noah Dobson
DateScoreKempeDobson
2026-03-07LAK 3–4 MTL0G 1A 3S0G 0A 1S
2025-11-11LAK 5–1 MTL0G 1A 4S0G 0A 3S
2025-03-11LAK 4–1 NYI0G 0A 3S0G 0A 3S
2024-12-10LAK 3–1 NYI1G 1A 1S0G 0A 2S
2024-03-11LAK 3–0 NYI1G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S
2023-12-09LAK 2–3 NYI1G 0A 5S0G 1A 1S
2023-03-14LAK 5–2 NYI0G 1A 4S0G 0A 3S
2023-02-24LAK 3–2 NYI0G 0A 2S1G 0A 2S
2022-02-26LAK 5–2 NYI0G 0A 4S0G 2A 4S
2022-01-27LAK 3–2 NYI1G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2020-02-06LAK 3–5 NYI0G 1A 1S0G 0A 2S
2019-11-27LAK 4–1 NYI0G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KempeDobson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adrian Kempe

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ COL
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to RWLikely vs Mackenzie Blackwood (.903)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ SJS1.6 pts
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −3.2 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)

Noah Dobson

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.6 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to Dvs Arturs Silovs (.888)

FAQ

Should I start Adrian Kempe or Noah Dobson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Noah Dobson projects to 2.17 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adrian Kempe's 2.01. Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Dobson had 47 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adrian Kempe or Noah Dobson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Adrian Kempe leads in 28 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Kempe and Dobson done against each other?
In 12 games against each other in our data, Kempe's team went 9–3. Kempe had 9 points (4 goals) and Dobson had 4 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →