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Who to start · 2025-26

Adrian Kempe vs Robert Thomas

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adrian Kempe projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Robert Thomas's 1.89.

Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Thomas had 64 in 64 games.

This week Kempe has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Thomas has 1 left. We project Thomas for 1.9 ESPN points to Kempe's 1.6.

Robert Thomas has the better number in 20 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Kempe's biggest edges: Hits 127, Hardest shot 95.3, Transition attempts /60 1.93.

Thomas's biggest edges: Faceoff win % 52.5%, Draw Equity /100 +0.024, High-danger chances 54.0%.

Head to head on the dot, Kempe leads Thomas 7–3.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adrian Kempe

2.01

fantasy points per game

Robert Thomas

1.89

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Adrian Kempe has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKempeThomas
Goals (+2)0.830.73
Assists (+1)0.430.57
Power-play points (+0.5)0.070.10
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.15
Hits (+0.1)0.160.01
Blocks (+0.5)0.230.29

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Kempe vs Thomas

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KempeThomas
10Team record in 21 meetings11
17Points in those games14

Kempe 10G 7A, 58 SOG · Thomas 4G 10A, 30 SOG

7Faceoffs against each other3

Kempe's offensive zone 4–1 · neutral 1–1 · Kempe's defensive zone 2–1 (2018-19 to 2025-26)

1Shots blocked by the other1

Kempe blocked 1 of Thomas's shots; Thomas blocked 1 of Kempe's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Kempe's side)

6:08 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Kempe's side

Shot attempts
5–8
38.5%
Expected goals
0.2–0.4
31.3%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Adrian Kempe and Robert Thomas
DateScoreKempeThomas
2026-04-01LAK 2–1 STL1G 0A 5S1G 0A 4S
2025-10-21LAK 2–1 STL1G 1A 2S0G 1A 1S
2025-03-08LAK 2–1 STL0G 1A 2S0G 0A 0S
2025-03-05LAK 2–3 STL0G 0A 3S1G 0A 3S
2025-03-01LAK 1–4 STL0G 0A 2S0G 1A 1S
2024-03-13LAK 1–3 STL1G 0A 8S0G 0A 3S
2024-01-28LAK 3–4 STL1G 0A 4S0G 1A 3S
2023-11-18LAK 5–1 STL1G 1A 2S0G 0A 3S
2023-03-26LAK 7–6 STL2G 0A 2S0G 2A 0S
2023-03-04LAK 4–2 STL1G 0A 4S1G 0A 1S
2022-10-31LAK 5–1 STL0G 1A 1S0G 0A 3S
2021-11-03LAK 3–2 STL1G 0A 5S0G 0A 1S

Latest 12 of 21 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KempeThomas

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adrian Kempe

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ COL
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to RWLikely vs Mackenzie Blackwood (.903)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ SJS1.6 pts
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −3.2 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)

Robert Thomas

2games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DAL
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to CLikely vs Jake Oettinger (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B1.9 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to CSchedule edge −13.4 win%Likely vs Scott Wedgewood (.921)

FAQ

Should I start Adrian Kempe or Robert Thomas in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adrian Kempe projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Robert Thomas's 1.89. Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Thomas had 64 in 64 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adrian Kempe or Robert Thomas?
On 2025-26 numbers, Robert Thomas leads in 20 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Kempe and Thomas done against each other?
In 21 games against each other in our data, Kempe's team went 10–11. Kempe had 17 points (10 goals) and Thomas had 14 (4 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Kempe or Thomas?
Against each other, Kempe has won 7 and Thomas 3 of their 10 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →