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Who to start · 2025-26

Adrian Kempe vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

Adrian KempeAdrian KempeKings · Right wingvsRyan Nugent-HopkinsRyan Nugent-HopkinsOilers · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adrian Kempe projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70.

Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games.

This week Kempe has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Nugent-Hopkins has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Kempe for 1.6 ESPN points to Nugent-Hopkins's 1.1.

Adrian Kempe has the better number in 23 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.

Kempe's biggest edges: Hits 127, Plus/minus +14, On-ice PDO 1027.

Nugent-Hopkins's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.34, High-danger chances 54.8%, Faceoff win % 47.4%.

Head to head on the dot, Nugent-Hopkins leads Kempe 11–5.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adrian Kempe

2.11

fantasy points per game

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

1.70

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Adrian Kempe has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKempeNugent-Hopkins
Goals (+2)0.890.56
Assists (+1)0.460.50
Power-play points (+0.5)0.070.20
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.18
Hits (+0.1)0.160.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.240.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Kempe vs Nugent-Hopkins

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KempeNugent-Hopkins
21Team record in 52 meetings31
46Points in those games36

Kempe 22G 24A, 195 SOG · Nugent-Hopkins 14G 22A, 105 SOG

5Faceoffs against each other11

Kempe's offensive zone 2–4 · neutral 3–6 · Kempe's defensive zone 0–1 (2017-18 to 2025-26)

4Hits on each other0
0Shots blocked by the other3

Kempe blocked 0 of Nugent-Hopkins's shots; Nugent-Hopkins blocked 3 of Kempe's.

On the ice against each other (Kempe's side)

14:41 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Kempe's side

Shot attempts
24–13
64.9%
Expected goals
0.6–0.4
59.6%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Adrian Kempe and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
DateScoreKempeNugent-Hopkins
2026-04-11LAK 1–0 EDM0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2026-02-26LAK 1–8 EDM0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2026-01-10LAK 4–3 EDM0G 1A 0S0G 1A 2S
2025-05-01 · POLAK 4–6 EDM0G 0A 1S1G 1A 2S
2025-04-29 · POLAK 1–3 EDM0G 1A 2S1G 0A 3S
2025-04-27 · POLAK 3–4 EDM0G 0A 4S0G 1A 3S
2025-04-25 · POLAK 4–7 EDM1G 1A 3S1G 0A 2S
2025-04-23 · POLAK 6–2 EDM2G 2A 8S0G 0A 1S
2025-04-21 · POLAK 6–5 EDM1G 2A 3S0G 0A 1S
2025-04-14LAK 5–0 EDM1G 2A 6S0G 0A 2S
2025-04-05LAK 3–0 EDM0G 1A 3S0G 0A 0S
2025-01-13LAK 0–1 EDM0G 0A 6S0G 0A 2S

Latest 12 of 52 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KempeNugent-Hopkins

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adrian Kempe

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ COL
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to RWLikely vs Mackenzie Blackwood (.903)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ SJS1.6 pts
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −3.2 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

3games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Adrian Kempe or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adrian Kempe projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70. Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adrian Kempe or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?
On 2025-26 numbers, Adrian Kempe leads in 23 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Kempe and Nugent-Hopkins done against each other?
In 52 games against each other in our data, Kempe's team went 21–31. Kempe had 46 points (22 goals) and Nugent-Hopkins had 36 (14 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Kempe or Nugent-Hopkins?
Against each other, Kempe has won 5 and Nugent-Hopkins 11 of their 16 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →