Who to start · 2025-26
Adrian Kempe vs Ryan O'Reilly
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adrian Kempe projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan O'Reilly's 1.90.
Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games.
This week Kempe has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; O'Reilly has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project O'Reilly for 2.0 ESPN points to Kempe's 1.6.
Ryan O'Reilly has the better number in 20 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Kempe's biggest edges: Hits 127, Transition attempts /60 1.93, Top skating speed 23.7.
O'Reilly's biggest edges: Faceoff win % 55.1%, Draw Equity /100 +0.056, Forecheck xG /60 0.33.
Head to head on the dot, O'Reilly leads Kempe 9–5.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Adrian Kempe
2.01
fantasy points per game
Ryan O'Reilly
1.90
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Adrian Kempe has the edge.
| Points per game from | Kempe | O'Reilly |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.83 | 0.58 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.43 | 0.57 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.02 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.16 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.23 | 0.38 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Kempe vs O'Reilly
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Kempe 6G 8A, 55 SOG · O'Reilly 8G 14A, 60 SOG
Kempe's offensive zone 3–3 · neutral 0–5 · Kempe's defensive zone 2–1 (2017-18 to 2024-25)
Kempe blocked 0 of O'Reilly's shots; O'Reilly blocked 1 of Kempe's.
On the ice against each other (Kempe's side)
16:23 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Kempe's side
- Shot attempts
- 18–16
- 52.9%
- Expected goals
- 1.0–0.9
- 53.3%
- Goals
- 0–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Kempe | O'Reilly |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | LAK 3–2 NSH | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2026-04-02 | LAK 4–5 NSH | 2G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2025-10-25 | LAK 4–5 NSH | 1G 0A 4S | 2G 1A 4S |
| 2025-03-15 | LAK 1–0 NSH | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-12-21 | LAK 2–3 NSH | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-11-04 | LAK 3–0 NSH | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-02-22 | LAK 1–4 NSH | 0G 1A 7S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-01-31 | LAK 4–2 NSH | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-01-18 | LAK 1–2 NSH | 0G 1A 2S | 1G 1A 5S |
| 2022-10-31 | LAK 5–1 STL | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2021-10-25 | LAK 0–3 STL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2021-10-23 | LAK 3–7 STL | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 2S |
Latest 12 of 27 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Adrian Kempe
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 @ COLOpp allows 10th-most FP to RWLikely vs Mackenzie Blackwood (.903)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ SJS1.6 ptsOpp allows 7th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −3.2 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
Ryan O'Reilly
2games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs MINOpp allows 11th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL2.0 ptsOpp allows 3rd-most FP to CSchedule edge +13.0 win%Likely vs Casey DeSmith (.907)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Adrian Kempe or Ryan O'Reilly in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adrian Kempe projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan O'Reilly's 1.90. Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Adrian Kempe or Ryan O'Reilly?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Ryan O'Reilly leads in 20 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Kempe and O'Reilly done against each other?
- In 27 games against each other in our data, Kempe's team went 14–13. Kempe had 14 points (6 goals) and O'Reilly had 22 (8 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Kempe or O'Reilly?
- Against each other, Kempe has won 5 and O'Reilly 9 of their 14 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →