Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Adrian Kempe vs Steven Stamkos

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adrian Kempe projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Steven Stamkos's 2.00.

Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Stamkos had 66 in 82 games.

This week Kempe has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Stamkos has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Stamkos for 2.0 ESPN points to Kempe's 1.6.

Adrian Kempe has the better number in 19 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Kempe's biggest edges: Plus/minus +14, Transition attempts /60 1.93, Offensive-zone start % 66.6%.

Stamkos's biggest edges: Faceoff win % 57.7%, Draw Equity /100 +0.085, Forecheck xG /60 0.43.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adrian Kempe

2.01

fantasy points per game

Steven Stamkos

2.00

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Adrian Kempe has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKempeStamkos
Goals (+2)0.830.96
Assists (+1)0.430.34
Power-play points (+0.5)0.070.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.24
Hits (+0.1)0.160.11
Blocks (+0.5)0.230.21

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Kempe vs Stamkos

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KempeStamkos
5Team record in 16 meetings11
10Points in those games17

Kempe 6G 4A, 38 SOG · Stamkos 9G 8A, 58 SOG

4Faceoffs against each other2

Kempe's offensive zone 2–0 · neutral 0–0 · Kempe's defensive zone 2–2 (2017-18 to 2018-19)

1Hits on each other0
0Shots blocked by the other1

Kempe blocked 0 of Stamkos's shots; Stamkos blocked 1 of Kempe's.

On the ice against each other (Kempe's side)

9:46 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Kempe's side

Shot attempts
11–13
45.8%
Expected goals
0.3–0.7
31.3%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Adrian Kempe and Steven Stamkos
DateScoreKempeStamkos
2026-04-06LAK 3–2 NSH0G 0A 0S1G 0A 1S
2026-04-02LAK 4–5 NSH2G 0A 4S1G 0A 3S
2025-10-25LAK 4–5 NSH1G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S
2025-03-15LAK 1–0 NSH0G 1A 1S0G 0A 2S
2024-12-21LAK 2–3 NSH0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2024-11-04LAK 3–0 NSH1G 1A 3S0G 0A 0S
2024-03-23LAK 4–3 TBL1G 1A 7S2G 0A 8S
2024-01-09LAK 2–3 TBL0G 0A 4S0G 0A 4S
2023-01-28LAK 2–5 TBL0G 0A 3S0G 1A 2S
2022-10-25LAK 4–2 TBL1G 0A 2S0G 0A 5S
2021-12-14LAK 2–3 TBL0G 0A 2S0G 1A 6S
2020-01-29LAK 2–4 TBL0G 1A 1S2G 1A 5S

Latest 12 of 16 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KempeStamkos

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adrian Kempe

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ COL
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to RWLikely vs Mackenzie Blackwood (.903)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ SJS1.6 pts
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −3.2 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)

Steven Stamkos

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs MIN
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL2.0 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to CSchedule edge +13.0 win%Likely vs Casey DeSmith (.907)

FAQ

Should I start Adrian Kempe or Steven Stamkos in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adrian Kempe projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Steven Stamkos's 2.00. Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Stamkos had 66 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adrian Kempe or Steven Stamkos?
On 2025-26 numbers, Adrian Kempe leads in 19 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Kempe and Stamkos done against each other?
In 16 games against each other in our data, Kempe's team went 5–11. Kempe had 10 points (6 goals) and Stamkos had 17 (9 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Kempe or Stamkos?
Against each other, Kempe has won 4 and Stamkos 2 of their 6 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →