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Who to start · 2025-26

Adrian Kempe vs Tyler Toffoli

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adrian Kempe projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35.

Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games.

This week Kempe has 1 game left; Toffoli has 1 left. We project Kempe for 2.1 ESPN points to Toffoli's 1.4.

Adrian Kempe has the better number in 28 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Kempe's biggest edges: Top skating speed 23.7, 20+ mph bursts 224, Penalty minutes 58.

Toffoli's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.05, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.004, Offensive-zone time 45.2%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adrian Kempe

2.01

fantasy points per game

Tyler Toffoli

1.35

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Adrian Kempe has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKempeToffoli
Goals (+2)0.830.45
Assists (+1)0.430.36
Power-play points (+0.5)0.070.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.21
Hits (+0.1)0.160.06
Blocks (+0.5)0.230.18

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Kempe vs Toffoli

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KempeToffoli
9Team record in 16 meetings7
16Points in those games9

Kempe 10G 6A, 45 SOG · Toffoli 6G 3A, 49 SOG

0Faceoffs against each other1

Kempe's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–0 · Kempe's defensive zone 0–1 (2021-22)

2Hits on each other0
1Shots blocked by the other0

Kempe blocked 1 of Toffoli's shots; Toffoli blocked 0 of Kempe's.

4Goals set up by the other6

Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).

On the ice against each other (Kempe's side)

19:26 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Kempe's side

Shot attempts
21–22
48.8%
Expected goals
0.3–1.3
18.5%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Adrian Kempe and Tyler Toffoli
DateScoreKempeToffoli
2026-01-07LAK 3–4 SJS0G 0A 0S1G 0A 7S
2025-11-20LAK 3–4 SJS1G 0A 5S0G 0A 1S
2025-10-28LAK 4–3 SJS0G 1A 1S0G 1A 3S
2025-03-30LAK 8–1 SJS2G 0A 5S0G 0A 1S
2024-11-25LAK 2–7 SJS0G 2A 4S0G 0A 1S
2024-10-29LAK 2–4 SJS0G 0A 2S1G 0A 4S
2024-10-24LAK 3–2 SJS0G 0A 2S0G 0A 5S
2024-02-15LAK 2–1 NJD0G 1A 3S1G 0A 4S
2023-03-28LAK 1–2 CGY0G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2023-03-20LAK 8–2 CGY2G 1A 2S1G 0A 2S
2022-12-22LAK 4–3 CGY1G 0A 1S1G 0A 2S
2022-11-14LAK 5–6 CGY1G 0A 2S1G 2A 4S

Latest 12 of 16 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KempeToffoli

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adrian Kempe

2games (1 left)

2.1proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ COL
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ SJS2.1 pts

Tyler Toffoli

2games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.4 pts

FAQ

Should I start Adrian Kempe or Tyler Toffoli in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adrian Kempe projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35. Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adrian Kempe or Tyler Toffoli?
On 2025-26 numbers, Adrian Kempe leads in 28 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Kempe and Toffoli done against each other?
In 16 games against each other in our data, Kempe's team went 9–7. Kempe had 16 points (10 goals) and Toffoli had 9 (6 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Kempe or Toffoli?
Against each other, Kempe has won 0 and Toffoli 1 of their 1 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →